Richmond
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#52
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#45
Pace70.2#139
Improvement+2.7#77

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#58
First Shot+6.6#22
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#319
Layup/Dunks+3.1#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#85
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-1.5#256

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#60
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#110
Layups/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows+1.1#106
Improvement+4.1#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.8% n/a n/a
First Round55.1% n/a n/a
Second Round21.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 4
Quad 23 - 26 - 6
Quad 38 - 114 - 7
Quad 410 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 181   St. Francis (PA) W 100-98 OT 88%     1 - 0 -1.8 +9.1 -11.1
  Nov 14, 2019 151   Vanderbilt W 93-92 OT 85%     2 - 0 -0.9 +3.8 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2019 240   Cal St. Northridge W 90-62 93%     3 - 0 +20.7 +12.7 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2019 289   McNeese St. W 87-57 95%     4 - 0 +19.6 +9.3 +11.6
  Nov 25, 2019 21   Wisconsin W 62-52 33%     5 - 0 +23.6 +2.4 +22.2
  Nov 26, 2019 33   Auburn L 65-79 41%     5 - 1 -2.5 -2.4 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2019 159   Boston College W 64-44 86%     6 - 1 +17.6 -7.0 +25.0
  Dec 03, 2019 301   @ Hampton W 80-63 90%     7 - 1 +12.1 +10.6 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2019 157   South Alabama W 75-57 86%     8 - 1 +15.6 +2.6 +13.7
  Dec 14, 2019 163   College of Charleston W 78-71 86%     9 - 1 +4.4 +5.7 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2019 168   @ Old Dominion W 62-59 72%     10 - 1 +6.2 -3.9 +10.3
  Dec 22, 2019 186   Radford L 58-73 83%     10 - 2 -16.1 -15.0 -1.9
  Dec 29, 2019 54   @ Alabama L 78-90 39%     10 - 3 -0.1 +3.8 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2020 257   Saint Joseph's W 84-52 94%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +23.4 +0.3 +21.5
  Jan 05, 2020 70   @ Rhode Island W 69-61 45%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +18.4 +2.6 +15.7
  Jan 11, 2020 69   Saint Louis L 58-74 67%     12 - 4 2 - 1 -11.4 -12.0 +1.0
  Jan 14, 2020 74   @ Davidson W 70-64 46%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +16.1 +4.2 +12.3
  Jan 18, 2020 169   @ George Mason W 97-87 72%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +13.1 +20.3 -7.9
  Jan 22, 2020 180   La Salle W 75-57 88%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +14.3 -0.1 +13.9
  Jan 25, 2020 6   Dayton L 79-87 34%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +5.3 +3.2 +2.7
  Jan 28, 2020 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-87 46%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -8.8 -0.8 -7.2
  Feb 01, 2020 230   George Washington W 76-54 92%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +15.1 +5.4 +11.3
  Feb 08, 2020 237   @ Fordham W 59-53 83%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +4.8 -2.8 +8.1
  Feb 12, 2020 180   @ La Salle W 74-47 74%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +29.3 +2.1 +26.5
  Feb 15, 2020 73   Virginia Commonwealth W 77-59 69%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +22.1 +5.6 +16.0
  Feb 19, 2020 169   George Mason W 65-50 87%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +12.1 +2.8 +11.9
  Feb 22, 2020 126   @ St. Bonaventure L 71-75 63%     20 - 7 10 - 4 +1.8 -0.1 +1.9
  Feb 26, 2020 230   @ George Washington W 73-70 83%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +2.1 +1.5 +0.7
  Feb 29, 2020 161   Massachusetts W 95-71 86%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +21.4 +15.0 +4.9
  Mar 03, 2020 74   Davidson W 80-63 69%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +21.0 +12.0 +10.3
  Mar 06, 2020 103   @ Duquesne W 73-62 56%     24 - 7 14 - 4 +18.7 +0.4 +17.9
Projected Record 24 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 62.9% 62.9% 10.1 0.0 0.2 3.1 12.4 24.4 21.7 1.0 37.2 62.9%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 62.9% 0.0% 62.9% 10.1 0.0 0.2 3.1 12.4 24.4 21.7 1.0 37.2 62.9%