American
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#198
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Pace69.5#162
Improvement+4.7#27

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#205
First Shot+0.2#176
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#259
Layup/Dunks+4.9#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
Freethrows-1.7#286
Improvement-0.5#202

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#209
First Shot-0.4#181
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#242
Layups/Dunks-3.3#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#14
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement+5.2#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 72 - 9
Quad 414 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 160   @ Siena L 80-96 30%     0 - 1 -12.5 +1.2 -12.7
  Nov 08, 2019 194   William & Mary L 70-79 61%     0 - 2 -13.7 -9.7 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2019 230   @ George Washington W 67-65 46%     1 - 2 +1.1 -2.0 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2019 181   @ St. Francis (PA) L 76-79 34%     1 - 3 -0.7 +7.5 -8.5
  Nov 26, 2019 349   Howard W 86-69 95%     2 - 3 -4.3 -4.8 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2019 276   @ Albany L 64-68 56%     2 - 4 -7.4 -9.3 +2.0
  Dec 03, 2019 251   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 85-61 73%     3 - 4 +15.7 +5.0 +9.8
  Dec 07, 2019 169   @ George Mason L 53-68 31%     3 - 5 -11.9 -14.8 +2.2
  Dec 17, 2019 293   @ Mount St. Mary's W 82-76 60%     4 - 5 +1.5 +6.6 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2019 196   Stony Brook L 74-77 61%     4 - 6 -7.9 +1.4 -9.2
  Dec 28, 2019 66   @ Georgetown L 60-80 12%     4 - 7 -9.0 -11.2 +2.8
  Jan 02, 2020 123   @ Colgate L 51-65 22%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -7.9 -17.5 +8.8
  Jan 05, 2020 170   Boston University W 67-63 54%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +1.0 -6.8 +7.9
  Jan 08, 2020 258   @ Army W 68-60 53%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +5.2 -2.1 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2020 295   @ Lehigh L 73-82 61%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -13.7 -4.9 -8.5
  Jan 15, 2020 242   Bucknell W 61-60 71%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -6.6 -5.5 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2020 343   Holy Cross W 81-69 92%     8 - 9 4 - 2 -5.7 +1.0 -6.1
  Jan 22, 2020 266   @ Loyola Maryland W 93-91 OT 54%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -1.0 +4.2 -5.4
  Jan 25, 2020 123   Colgate L 69-79 42%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -9.9 -7.5 -2.2
  Jan 27, 2020 295   Lehigh W 77-56 80%     10 - 10 6 - 3 +10.3 +2.9 +8.6
  Feb 01, 2020 222   @ Lafayette L 70-82 45%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -12.6 -7.4 -4.5
  Feb 05, 2020 253   @ Navy W 62-54 52%     11 - 11 7 - 4 +5.6 +0.8 +6.5
  Feb 08, 2020 258   Army W 72-62 75%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +1.2 -6.2 +7.3
  Feb 12, 2020 266   Loyola Maryland W 81-76 75%     13 - 11 9 - 4 -4.0 +1.7 -5.7
  Feb 15, 2020 242   @ Bucknell L 68-72 49%     13 - 12 9 - 5 -5.6 -5.3 -0.1
  Feb 19, 2020 253   Navy W 71-62 73%     14 - 12 10 - 5 +0.6 +3.8 -2.0
  Feb 23, 2020 170   @ Boston University L 60-64 32%     14 - 13 10 - 6 -0.9 -10.7 +9.7
  Feb 26, 2020 222   Lafayette W 79-59 68%     15 - 13 11 - 6 +13.4 +9.1 +5.9
  Feb 29, 2020 343   @ Holy Cross W 90-47 82%     16 - 13 12 - 6 +31.3 +5.6 +24.2
  Mar 05, 2020 242   Bucknell L 59-64 71%     16 - 14 -12.6 -11.6 -1.3
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%