BYU
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#22
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#27
Pace71.6#104
Improvement+1.0#135

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#10
First Shot+11.5#3
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#326
Layup/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.2#2
Freethrows-2.2#316
Improvement+0.4#157

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#63
First Shot+3.0#80
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#59
Layups/Dunks+2.5#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#38
Freethrows+2.9#23
Improvement+0.6#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 14.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 91.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.1% n/a n/a
Second Round69.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen35.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.5% n/a n/a
Final Four6.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 14 - 5
Quad 24 - 38 - 8
Quad 38 - 016 - 8
Quad 47 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 269   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-58 97%     1 - 0 +8.8 -3.9 +11.8
  Nov 09, 2019 7   San Diego St. L 71-76 53%     1 - 1 +7.8 +6.3 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2019 177   Southern Utah W 68-63 94%     2 - 1 +1.5 -5.3 +6.7
  Nov 15, 2019 19   @ Houston W 72-71 38%     3 - 1 +17.7 +6.6 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2019 77   @ Boise St. L 68-72 OT 64%     3 - 2 +5.8 -7.2 +13.4
  Nov 25, 2019 71   UCLA W 78-63 73%     4 - 2 +22.3 +19.3 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2019 1   Kansas L 56-71 25%     4 - 3 +5.7 -6.3 +12.2
  Nov 27, 2019 100   Virginia Tech W 90-77 79%     5 - 3 +18.0 +26.6 -7.7
  Dec 04, 2019 105   @ Utah L 95-102 OT 72%     5 - 4 +0.6 +7.5 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2019 97   UNLV W 83-50 79%     6 - 4 +38.2 +21.1 +20.7
  Dec 10, 2019 80   Nevada W 75-42 83%     7 - 4 +36.6 -0.6 +36.0
  Dec 14, 2019 42   Utah St. W 68-64 63%     8 - 4 +14.3 +6.1 +8.5
  Dec 21, 2019 275   Weber St. W 91-61 97%     9 - 4 +20.6 +8.9 +10.5
  Dec 28, 2019 138   Oral Roberts W 79-73 91%     10 - 4 +4.9 +1.4 +3.4
  Jan 04, 2020 197   Loyola Marymount W 63-38 95%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +20.1 -6.3 +28.6
  Jan 09, 2020 43   @ St. Mary's L 84-87 OT 51%     11 - 5 1 - 1 +10.2 +8.0 +2.5
  Jan 11, 2020 297   Portland W 96-70 98%     12 - 5 2 - 1 +15.2 +18.9 -4.1
  Jan 16, 2020 228   San Diego W 93-70 96%     13 - 5 3 - 1 +16.1 +14.5 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2020 2   @ Gonzaga L 69-92 21%     13 - 6 3 - 2 -0.7 -0.3 +0.9
  Jan 23, 2020 125   @ Pacific W 74-60 77%     14 - 6 4 - 2 +19.8 +10.1 +10.7
  Jan 25, 2020 78   @ San Francisco L 82-83 65%     14 - 7 4 - 3 +8.7 +18.5 -9.9
  Jan 30, 2020 135   Pepperdine W 107-80 91%     15 - 7 5 - 3 +26.2 +23.9 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2020 43   St. Mary's W 81-79 73%     16 - 7 6 - 3 +9.2 +17.3 -7.9
  Feb 06, 2020 297   @ Portland W 85-54 95%     17 - 7 7 - 3 +26.3 +8.5 +16.4
  Feb 08, 2020 78   San Francisco W 90-76 83%     18 - 7 8 - 3 +17.7 +11.9 +4.7
  Feb 13, 2020 197   @ Loyola Marymount W 77-54 88%     19 - 7 9 - 3 +24.1 +10.7 +15.1
  Feb 15, 2020 228   @ San Diego W 72-71 91%     20 - 7 10 - 3 +0.2 +1.8 -1.7
  Feb 20, 2020 162   Santa Clara W 85-75 93%     21 - 7 11 - 3 +7.4 +5.6 +1.2
  Feb 22, 2020 2   Gonzaga W 91-78 40%     22 - 7 12 - 3 +29.2 +18.5 +10.2
  Feb 29, 2020 135   @ Pepperdine W 81-64 79%     23 - 7 13 - 3 +22.2 +9.6 +12.8
  Mar 09, 2020 43   St. Mary's L 50-51 63%     23 - 8 +9.2 -14.5 +23.6
Projected Record 23 - 8 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 99.1% 99.1% 5.4 0.0 0.0 1.1 13.1 42.1 35.4 6.6 0.6 0.0 1.0 99.1%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.1% 0.0% 99.1% 5.4 0.0 0.0 1.1 13.1 42.1 35.4 6.6 0.6 0.0 1.0 99.1%