Belmont
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#108
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#106
Pace73.5#66
Improvement-0.7#209

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#98
First Shot+4.4#50
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#294
Layup/Dunks+3.7#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#31
Freethrows-3.3#347
Improvement-1.4#255

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#126
First Shot+1.4#120
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#158
Layups/Dunks+0.0#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
Freethrows+3.0#22
Improvement+0.8#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 24 - 6
Quad 421 - 125 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 217   @ Illinois St. L 72-79 66%     0 - 1 -6.9 +2.1 -9.2
  Nov 11, 2019 321   Samford W 95-63 94%     1 - 1 +19.0 +3.7 +12.1
  Nov 16, 2019 159   @ Boston College W 100-85 53%     2 - 1 +18.6 +25.1 -7.3
  Nov 18, 2019 338   High Point W 90-51 96%     3 - 1 +23.6 +1.4 +19.2
  Nov 20, 2019 236   @ Lipscomb W 73-67 71%     4 - 1 +4.8 -3.8 +8.4
  Nov 23, 2019 69   @ Saint Louis L 55-60 28%     4 - 2 +5.7 -10.3 +15.9
  Nov 26, 2019 133   @ Eastern Washington L 82-87 46%     4 - 3 +0.4 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 30, 2019 281   @ Middle Tennessee W 71-59 78%     5 - 3 +8.3 -1.7 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2019 236   Lipscomb W 80-75 86%     6 - 3 -2.3 -6.0 +3.3
  Dec 18, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 83-44 98%     7 - 3 +16.9 -0.6 +16.1
  Dec 21, 2019 54   Alabama L 72-92 33%     7 - 4 -11.1 -6.4 -2.4
  Dec 28, 2019 111   @ Western Kentucky W 79-62 40%     8 - 4 +24.1 +6.1 +17.6
  Jan 02, 2020 330   SIU Edwardsville L 69-79 95%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -24.5 -16.1 -7.5
  Jan 04, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois W 87-55 86%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +24.7 +7.8 +15.7
  Jan 09, 2020 340   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 89-64 90%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +15.6 +14.4 +2.2
  Jan 11, 2020 333   @ Tennessee Martin W 85-78 89%     11 - 5 3 - 1 -1.8 -7.2 +4.8
  Jan 16, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky W 87-56 89%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +21.7 +7.4 +13.1
  Jan 18, 2020 316   Morehead St. W 77-59 93%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +5.8 -2.3 +7.9
  Jan 23, 2020 130   @ Murray St. L 75-85 46%     13 - 6 5 - 2 -4.5 +4.1 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2020 172   @ Austin Peay L 78-86 56%     13 - 7 5 - 3 -5.1 +1.4 -6.2
  Jan 30, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech W 92-84 87%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +0.1 +11.0 -11.3
  Feb 01, 2020 277   @ Jacksonville St. W 78-64 77%     15 - 7 7 - 3 +10.5 +5.1 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2020 130   Murray St. W 71-64 69%     16 - 7 8 - 3 +6.4 -4.9 +10.9
  Feb 08, 2020 172   Austin Peay W 71-63 77%     17 - 7 9 - 3 +4.9 -5.6 +10.6
  Feb 13, 2020 262   Tennessee St. W 74-51 89%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +14.1 -0.9 +15.3
  Feb 15, 2020 277   Jacksonville St. W 101-84 90%     19 - 7 11 - 3 +7.5 +19.1 -12.6
  Feb 20, 2020 316   @ Morehead St. W 80-67 84%     20 - 7 12 - 3 +6.8 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 22, 2020 273   @ Eastern Kentucky W 83-70 77%     21 - 7 13 - 3 +9.8 +10.4 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2020 325   Tennessee Tech W 65-62 95%     22 - 7 14 - 3 -10.9 -8.5 -2.1
  Feb 29, 2020 262   @ Tennessee St. W 72-65 76%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +4.1 +1.0 +3.3
  Mar 06, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky W 60-50 84%     24 - 7 +3.7 -14.9 +18.6
  Mar 07, 2020 130   Murray St. W 76-75 58%     25 - 7 +3.4 +5.1 -1.6
Projected Record 25 - 7 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.0 1.0 16.7 59.9 22.3 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.0 1.0 16.7 59.9 22.3 0.1