North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#164
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#155
Pace71.7#99
Improvement+1.8#110

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#28
First Shot+5.8#30
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#104
Layup/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.4#1
Freethrows-0.3#210
Improvement+5.4#4

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#323
First Shot-4.1#303
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#337
Layups/Dunks-3.8#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#5
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement-3.7#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 21 - 01 - 7
Quad 31 - 12 - 8
Quad 417 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 32   @ Florida L 59-74 9%     0 - 1 +0.3 -5.7 +5.6
  Nov 11, 2019 132   Georgia Southern W 80-77 54%     1 - 1 +2.3 -5.7 +7.5
  Nov 14, 2019 267   Southern Miss W 66-63 81%     2 - 1 -6.0 -10.8 +4.8
  Nov 21, 2019 25   @ Iowa L 68-83 8%     2 - 2 +1.0 +1.6 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2019 8   @ Creighton L 67-76 6%     2 - 3 +9.4 +0.0 +9.4
  Nov 28, 2019 274   LIU Brooklyn W 95-92 74%     3 - 3 -3.3 +1.7 -5.5
  Nov 29, 2019 262   Tennessee St. L 73-81 73%     3 - 4 -13.9 -5.1 -8.4
  Dec 02, 2019 338   High Point W 93-70 92%     4 - 4 +7.6 +12.5 -4.6
  Dec 07, 2019 172   @ Austin Peay L 83-90 40%     4 - 5 -4.1 +6.0 -9.8
  Dec 14, 2019 267   @ Southern Miss W 72-69 63%     5 - 5 +0.0 -2.7 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2019 12   @ Florida St. L 81-98 6%     5 - 6 +0.6 +12.9 -11.4
  Dec 21, 2019 46   @ Syracuse L 70-82 12%     5 - 7 +1.0 +12.0 -12.9
  Dec 30, 2019 6   @ Dayton L 59-77 5%     5 - 8 +1.3 -8.4 +10.2
  Jan 02, 2020 351   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-57 93%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +2.9 +2.2 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2020 283   @ North Alabama W 81-65 66%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +12.2 +7.6 +4.7
  Jan 09, 2020 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-74 85%     8 - 8 3 - 0 +4.2 +14.9 -10.6
  Jan 11, 2020 288   NJIT L 66-78 84%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -22.3 -1.0 -23.0
  Jan 16, 2020 246   @ Jacksonville W 75-68 58%     9 - 9 4 - 1 +5.2 +4.7 +0.6
  Jan 23, 2020 95   Liberty W 71-70 43%     10 - 9 5 - 1 +3.3 +9.0 -5.6
  Jan 25, 2020 236   @ Lipscomb L 73-85 56%     10 - 10 5 - 2 -13.2 -3.1 -9.9
  Jan 30, 2020 285   Stetson W 78-65 83%     11 - 10 6 - 2 +3.1 +4.9 -0.9
  Feb 01, 2020 351   Kennesaw St. W 86-45 97%     12 - 10 7 - 2 +18.9 +13.0 +9.5
  Feb 06, 2020 288   @ NJIT W 82-75 68%     13 - 10 8 - 2 +2.7 +7.5 -4.9
  Feb 08, 2020 298   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 69-60 69%     14 - 10 9 - 2 +4.2 +3.5 +1.5
  Feb 13, 2020 246   Jacksonville W 81-66 78%     15 - 10 10 - 2 +7.2 +13.4 -4.9
  Feb 15, 2020 283   North Alabama W 80-67 83%     16 - 10 11 - 2 +3.2 +5.0 -1.5
  Feb 20, 2020 95   @ Liberty L 77-82 23%     16 - 11 11 - 3 +3.3 +17.9 -15.2
  Feb 22, 2020 236   Lipscomb W 82-74 77%     17 - 11 12 - 3 +0.7 +5.8 -4.9
  Feb 27, 2020 285   @ Stetson W 85-72 66%     18 - 11 13 - 3 +9.1 +11.0 -1.7
  Mar 03, 2020 246   Jacksonville W 91-88 78%     19 - 11 -4.8 +12.4 -17.3
  Mar 05, 2020 236   Lipscomb L 71-73 77%     19 - 12 -9.3 -0.1 -9.3
Projected Record 19 - 12 13 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%