North Texas
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#85
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#102
Pace59.2#350
Improvement+1.3#125

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#43
First Shot+5.3#41
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#152
Layup/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#62
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement+2.0#86

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#153
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#78
Layups/Dunks+4.9#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
Freethrows-1.2#266
Improvement-0.7#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round20.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 32 - 7
Quad 36 - 38 - 10
Quad 410 - 118 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-59 35%     0 - 1 +7.2 -2.2 +9.0
  Nov 12, 2019 48   @ Arkansas L 43-66 27%     0 - 2 -10.4 -18.1 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2019 200   Eastern Michigan L 51-56 85%     0 - 3 -10.0 -12.4 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2019 284   N.C. A&T W 80-60 92%     1 - 3 +10.1 +9.4 +1.7
  Nov 22, 2019 70   Rhode Island L 47-60 45%     1 - 4 -5.6 -14.8 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2019 42   Utah St. L 59-68 34%     1 - 5 +1.3 -6.2 +7.2
  Dec 02, 2019 137   @ Texas Arlington W 77-66 54%     2 - 5 +16.1 +14.9 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2019 37   Oklahoma L 80-82 43%     2 - 6 +6.1 +16.6 -10.6
  Dec 07, 2019 134   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-53 74%     3 - 6 +22.3 +9.1 +15.6
  Dec 17, 2019 6   @ Dayton L 58-71 11%     3 - 7 +6.3 -5.4 +11.1
  Dec 21, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-53 99%     4 - 7 +11.9 +7.3 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2020 111   @ Western Kentucky L 84-93 46%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -1.9 +13.8 -15.8
  Jan 04, 2020 142   @ Marshall W 67-64 56%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +7.6 +1.5 +6.3
  Jan 09, 2020 150   Florida International W 74-56 78%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +16.1 +2.1 +14.6
  Jan 11, 2020 183   Florida Atlantic W 81-58 83%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +19.2 +12.3 +8.2
  Jan 16, 2020 267   @ Southern Miss W 72-52 81%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +17.0 +7.4 +11.7
  Jan 18, 2020 88   @ Louisiana Tech W 51-50 39%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +10.0 -8.9 +19.1
  Jan 20, 2020 203   Rice W 79-59 85%     10 - 8 6 - 1 +14.8 +7.0 +9.5
  Jan 23, 2020 207   Texas San Antonio W 98-78 86%     11 - 8 7 - 1 +14.6 +19.0 -4.6
  Jan 25, 2020 188   UTEP W 67-57 84%     12 - 8 8 - 1 +5.7 +7.4 +0.2
  Feb 01, 2020 203   @ Rice L 75-84 70%     12 - 9 8 - 2 -8.1 +6.7 -15.7
  Feb 06, 2020 281   @ Middle Tennessee W 75-70 82%     13 - 9 9 - 2 +1.3 +4.9 -3.3
  Feb 08, 2020 176   @ UAB W 71-64 64%     14 - 9 10 - 2 +9.5 +13.7 -2.9
  Feb 13, 2020 171   Charlotte W 81-72 81%     15 - 9 11 - 2 +5.9 +18.6 -11.7
  Feb 15, 2020 168   Old Dominion W 64-47 80%     16 - 9 12 - 2 +14.2 -0.7 +16.7
  Feb 22, 2020 88   Louisiana Tech L 71-73 62%     16 - 10 12 - 3 +1.0 +8.8 -8.1
  Feb 27, 2020 150   @ Florida International W 78-59 58%     17 - 10 13 - 3 +23.2 +15.8 +9.6
  Mar 01, 2020 111   Western Kentucky W 78-72 OT 69%     18 - 10 14 - 3 +7.0 +2.4 +4.6
  Mar 04, 2020 171   @ Charlotte L 43-56 62%     18 - 11 14 - 4 -10.1 -19.4 +7.4
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 12.2 53.2 33.0 1.6
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2 12.2 53.2 33.0 1.6