St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#118
Pace63.6#308
Improvement+0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+1.4#131
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#87
Layup/Dunks+2.2#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
Freethrows-0.3#209
Improvement+2.0#87

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#166
First Shot-0.1#167
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#275
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement-2.0#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 23 - 5
Quad 36 - 69 - 11
Quad 49 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 158   Ohio L 53-65 69%     0 - 1 -14.4 -15.1 -0.8
  Nov 08, 2019 84   Vermont L 59-61 48%     0 - 2 +1.3 -11.3 +12.6
  Nov 12, 2019 160   @ Siena L 65-78 47%     0 - 3 -9.5 -8.1 -1.5
  Nov 16, 2019 30   Rutgers W 80-74 18%     1 - 3 +18.5 +23.5 -4.4
  Nov 23, 2019 260   @ Canisius L 57-61 71%     1 - 4 -6.8 -11.0 +3.8
  Nov 26, 2019 187   Mercer W 56-51 75%     2 - 4 +0.8 -10.7 +12.1
  Dec 01, 2019 228   San Diego W 70-61 74%     3 - 4 +5.2 +5.4 +0.6
  Dec 02, 2019 183   @ Florida Atlantic W 71-64 52%     4 - 4 +9.2 +2.1 +7.3
  Dec 07, 2019 112   Hofstra W 73-45 57%     5 - 4 +29.0 +3.2 +27.6
  Dec 18, 2019 300   Niagara W 87-70 89%     6 - 4 +6.1 +8.5 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2019 281   @ Middle Tennessee W 66-65 73%     7 - 4 -2.7 -5.0 +2.4
  Dec 30, 2019 141   @ Buffalo L 79-84 43%     7 - 5 -0.3 -1.2 +1.5
  Jan 05, 2020 230   @ George Washington W 71-66 64%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +4.1 +4.4 +0.2
  Jan 08, 2020 169   @ George Mason W 61-49 49%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +15.1 -6.1 +21.9
  Jan 11, 2020 237   Fordham W 64-44 83%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +12.7 +4.3 +11.5
  Jan 15, 2020 161   Massachusetts W 74-61 59%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +13.4 +8.2 +6.5
  Jan 18, 2020 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-91 24%     11 - 6 4 - 1 -17.8 -5.2 -11.5
  Jan 22, 2020 6   @ Dayton L 60-86 7%     11 - 7 4 - 2 -6.7 -1.3 -7.4
  Jan 25, 2020 70   Rhode Island L 75-81 44%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -1.6 +9.0 -10.8
  Jan 29, 2020 237   @ Fordham W 62-55 OT 65%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +5.8 -2.1 +8.2
  Feb 01, 2020 169   George Mason W 74-65 71%     13 - 8 6 - 3 +6.1 +4.0 +2.5
  Feb 05, 2020 230   George Washington W 72-47 82%     14 - 8 7 - 3 +18.1 +8.2 +14.2
  Feb 08, 2020 103   @ Duquesne W 83-80 32%     15 - 8 8 - 3 +10.7 +20.8 -9.8
  Feb 11, 2020 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 74-56 70%     16 - 8 9 - 3 +15.4 +3.2 +13.6
  Feb 14, 2020 74   Davidson L 64-93 45%     16 - 9 9 - 4 -25.0 -5.7 -21.1
  Feb 22, 2020 52   Richmond W 75-71 37%     17 - 9 10 - 4 +10.1 +5.2 +4.9
  Feb 26, 2020 103   Duquesne L 77-81 OT 54%     17 - 10 10 - 5 -2.3 -0.1 -2.0
  Feb 29, 2020 180   @ La Salle L 65-73 52%     17 - 11 10 - 6 -5.7 -7.5 +2.1
  Mar 04, 2020 257   Saint Joseph's W 89-73 86%     18 - 11 11 - 6 +7.4 +17.2 -8.5
  Mar 07, 2020 69   @ Saint Louis L 49-72 23%     18 - 12 11 - 7 -12.3 -15.3 +2.2
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%