Troy
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#292
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#292
Pace70.6#131
Improvement-1.4#235

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-6.1#332
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#63
Layup/Dunks-2.3#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#125
Freethrows-2.8#338
Improvement-0.8#220

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#268
First Shot-1.1#212
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#323
Layups/Dunks+0.8#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#302
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-0.6#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 114 - 13
Quad 43 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 176   UAB L 75-76 35%     0 - 1 -4.5 +5.8 -10.4
  Nov 12, 2019 143   Chattanooga L 68-74 28%     0 - 2 -7.5 -10.1 +2.8
  Nov 16, 2019 34   @ Indiana L 62-100 3%     0 - 3 -23.5 -7.8 -12.2
  Nov 20, 2019 110   @ Texas A&M L 52-56 9%     0 - 4 +3.2 -15.6 +18.9
  Nov 23, 2019 321   @ Samford L 60-72 48%     0 - 5 -18.9 -21.0 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2019 344   @ Alabama A&M L 66-80 68%     0 - 6 -26.3 -4.3 -23.1
  Dec 04, 2019 283   North Alabama W 71-63 59%     1 - 6 -1.8 -7.6 +5.6
  Dec 11, 2019 277   @ Jacksonville St. W 60-55 35%     2 - 6 +1.5 -8.2 +10.2
  Dec 15, 2019 143   @ Chattanooga L 80-84 OT 13%     2 - 7 +0.5 +6.2 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2019 189   Coastal Carolina W 77-59 38%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +13.7 -6.2 +18.4
  Dec 21, 2019 182   Appalachian St. L 65-70 36%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -8.8 -7.9 -0.9
  Jan 02, 2020 247   @ Louisiana Monroe L 63-79 30%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -18.0 -10.2 -7.7
  Jan 04, 2020 219   @ Louisiana L 62-79 25%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -17.4 -15.4 -1.1
  Jan 06, 2020 102   @ Texas St. W 71-63 8%     4 - 10 2 - 3 +15.8 +9.4 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2020 134   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-71 26%     5 - 10 3 - 3 +4.3 -2.5 +6.5
  Jan 11, 2020 212   @ Arkansas St. L 68-76 OT 23%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -7.6 -13.9 +7.1
  Jan 16, 2020 132   Georgia Southern L 66-82 26%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -16.7 -2.8 -14.5
  Jan 18, 2020 131   Georgia St. W 75-65 25%     6 - 12 4 - 5 +9.4 -0.5 +9.7
  Jan 22, 2020 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 63-81 12%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -12.6 -11.4 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2020 212   Arkansas St. L 62-78 43%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -21.7 -12.1 -10.5
  Jan 30, 2020 132   @ Georgia Southern L 57-86 12%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -23.6 -14.6 -7.6
  Feb 01, 2020 131   @ Georgia St. W 84-78 12%     7 - 15 5 - 8 +11.4 +5.9 +5.0
  Feb 07, 2020 157   South Alabama L 66-70 31%     7 - 16 5 - 9 -6.4 -7.2 +0.7
  Feb 13, 2020 247   Louisiana Monroe L 71-74 52%     7 - 17 5 - 10 -11.1 -5.2 -5.8
  Feb 15, 2020 219   Louisiana L 77-81 46%     7 - 18 5 - 11 -10.4 -8.4 -1.5
  Feb 20, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina L 60-90 19%     7 - 19 5 - 12 -28.3 -14.8 -13.0
  Feb 22, 2020 182   @ Appalachian St. L 59-68 18%     7 - 20 5 - 13 -6.8 -10.0 +3.0
  Feb 29, 2020 157   @ South Alabama L 63-78 15%     7 - 21 5 - 14 -11.3 -7.6 -4.2
  Mar 03, 2020 137   Texas Arlington L 64-78 27%     7 - 22 5 - 15 -14.9 -1.6 -14.7
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%