UC Irvine
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#116
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#142
Pace67.8#214
Improvement+1.3#126

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#129
First Shot+0.0#183
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#42
Layup/Dunks+1.9#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#284
Freethrows-1.4#270
Improvement+1.9#93

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#118
First Shot+3.5#75
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#314
Layups/Dunks+5.3#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#84
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement-0.6#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.2% n/a n/a
First Round98.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 37 - 38 - 7
Quad 411 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 228   @ San Diego W 76-73 67%     1 - 0 +2.2 +3.3 -1.3
  Nov 09, 2019 135   @ Pepperdine L 73-77 44%     1 - 1 +1.2 +1.1 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2019 77   @ Boise St. W 69-60 28%     2 - 1 +18.8 -2.3 +20.6
  Nov 18, 2019 38   @ Colorado L 53-69 17%     2 - 2 -2.1 -10.5 +7.8
  Nov 21, 2019 76   @ TCU L 58-59 28%     2 - 3 +8.9 -6.2 +15.1
  Nov 24, 2019 304   Detroit Mercy L 74-86 86%     2 - 4 -20.0 -11.3 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2019 219   Louisiana W 92-67 75%     3 - 4 +21.6 +12.7 +7.9
  Nov 30, 2019 200   Eastern Michigan W 77-56 80%     4 - 4 +16.0 -0.9 +15.0
  Dec 07, 2019 201   California Baptist L 60-68 80%     4 - 5 -13.0 -16.4 +3.1
  Dec 16, 2019 124   Kent St. W 74-68 54%     5 - 5 +8.8 -1.1 +9.7
  Dec 17, 2019 188   @ UTEP L 61-67 58%     5 - 6 -4.2 -4.7 +0.1
  Dec 20, 2019 193   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-76 59%     5 - 7 -7.6 -4.5 -2.8
  Dec 28, 2019 125   Pacific W 69-56 65%     6 - 7 +12.8 +2.0 +11.7
  Jan 04, 2020 114   @ Harvard L 73-77 38%     6 - 8 +3.0 +6.0 -3.1
  Jan 11, 2020 214   Hawaii W 74-60 82%     7 - 8 1 - 0 +8.3 +6.3 +3.0
  Jan 15, 2020 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 74-61 75%     8 - 8 2 - 0 +9.9 +2.0 +8.0
  Jan 18, 2020 220   UC Riverside W 69-53 83%     9 - 8 3 - 0 +9.4 +1.8 +9.0
  Jan 22, 2020 306   @ Long Beach St. L 56-63 80%     9 - 9 3 - 1 -12.1 -16.6 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2020 317   Cal Poly W 74-67 92%     10 - 9 4 - 1 -5.3 +0.0 -4.8
  Jan 30, 2020 221   @ UC Davis W 80-65 66%     11 - 9 5 - 1 +14.4 +5.8 +9.0
  Feb 01, 2020 269   Cal St. Fullerton W 91-61 88%     12 - 9 6 - 1 +20.8 +13.3 +7.0
  Feb 06, 2020 221   UC Davis W 83-72 83%     13 - 9 7 - 1 +4.4 +5.4 -0.8
  Feb 08, 2020 174   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-64 54%     13 - 10 7 - 2 -0.3 -2.8 +2.0
  Feb 12, 2020 220   @ UC Riverside W 63-59 66%     14 - 10 8 - 2 +3.5 +5.0 -0.8
  Feb 15, 2020 214   @ Hawaii W 70-63 63%     15 - 10 9 - 2 +7.3 +2.6 +5.0
  Feb 19, 2020 306   Long Beach St. W 70-55 91%     16 - 10 10 - 2 +3.9 +0.6 +4.8
  Feb 22, 2020 240   @ Cal St. Northridge W 87-64 69%     17 - 10 11 - 2 +21.7 +7.4 +14.2
  Feb 27, 2020 317   @ Cal Poly W 82-76 83%     18 - 10 12 - 2 -0.3 +6.0 -6.3
  Feb 29, 2020 174   UC Santa Barbara W 69-58 75%     19 - 10 13 - 2 +7.6 -5.7 +13.6
  Mar 04, 2020 240   Cal St. Northridge L 70-72 85%     19 - 11 13 - 3 -9.3 -2.5 -7.1
Projected Record 19 - 11 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.3 0.2 5.6 53.2 40.9
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.2 5.6 53.2 40.9