UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#160
Pace61.6#335
Improvement-1.2#231

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#123
First Shot+1.3#133
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#119
Layup/Dunks+0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
Freethrows+1.6#62
Improvement-3.3#319

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#252
First Shot-2.7#274
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#145
Layups/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#284
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement+2.1#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 415 - 319 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 83-62 82%     1 - 0 +10.7 +13.8 -1.8
  Nov 10, 2019 71   @ UCLA L 61-77 16%     1 - 1 -5.7 -1.6 -5.8
  Nov 16, 2019 203   Rice L 81-82 68%     1 - 2 -6.2 +2.5 -8.6
  Nov 20, 2019 82   @ Oregon St. L 67-78 18%     1 - 3 -1.6 -3.1 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2019 185   Portland St. W 81-70 64%     2 - 3 +7.0 +8.5 -0.6
  Nov 29, 2019 313   Grambling St. W 67-58 86%     3 - 3 -3.0 -6.9 +4.3
  Dec 03, 2019 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 64-60 60%     4 - 3 +1.1 +2.0 -0.2
  Dec 07, 2019 137   @ Texas Arlington W 72-68 30%     5 - 3 +9.1 +4.4 +4.8
  Dec 14, 2019 177   @ Southern Utah L 61-62 39%     5 - 4 +1.5 -3.7 +5.1
  Dec 16, 2019 307   @ Idaho St. W 74-68 OT 68%     6 - 4 +0.9 -5.0 +5.8
  Dec 20, 2019 261   Southern W 77-68 79%     7 - 4 +0.1 +14.3 -12.6
  Dec 22, 2019 233   Merrimack W 68-50 74%     8 - 4 +11.0 +0.7 +11.5
  Dec 29, 2019 219   @ Louisiana W 85-77 50%     9 - 4 +7.6 +7.8 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2020 317   @ Cal Poly W 63-45 72%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +11.7 +0.1 +15.4
  Jan 11, 2020 306   Long Beach St. L 52-55 84%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -14.1 -17.2 +2.7
  Jan 18, 2020 214   @ Hawaii L 63-70 47%     10 - 6 1 - 2 -6.7 -1.7 -5.6
  Jan 22, 2020 240   Cal St. Northridge L 75-83 75%     10 - 7 1 - 3 -15.3 +4.4 -20.9
  Jan 25, 2020 220   UC Riverside W 65-63 72%     11 - 7 2 - 3 -4.6 +1.5 -5.8
  Jan 30, 2020 240   @ Cal St. Northridge L 67-79 53%     11 - 8 2 - 4 -13.3 -10.8 -2.7
  Feb 01, 2020 306   @ Long Beach St. W 87-62 68%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +19.9 +12.1 +7.3
  Feb 06, 2020 214   Hawaii W 76-66 70%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +4.3 +8.6 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2020 116   UC Irvine W 64-61 46%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +3.8 +1.8 +2.4
  Feb 13, 2020 221   @ UC Davis L 75-84 51%     14 - 9 5 - 5 -9.6 +2.3 -12.3
  Feb 20, 2020 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 75-66 61%     15 - 9 6 - 5 +5.9 +9.3 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2020 221   UC Davis W 70-56 73%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +7.4 -1.9 +10.7
  Feb 27, 2020 220   @ UC Riverside W 65-60 51%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +4.5 +2.7 +2.4
  Feb 29, 2020 116   @ UC Irvine L 58-69 25%     17 - 10 8 - 6 -4.2 -9.8 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2020 269   Cal St. Fullerton W 55-53 80%     18 - 10 9 - 6 -7.2 -18.1 +11.1
  Mar 07, 2020 317   Cal Poly W 69-67 87%     19 - 10 10 - 6 -10.3 -2.0 -8.1
Projected Record 19 - 10 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%