UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#257
Pace73.7#65
Improvement+3.4#53

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#231
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#207
Layup/Dunks-4.2#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#313
Freethrows+0.8#112
Improvement+4.0#22

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#256
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#281
Layups/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#110
Freethrows-3.5#336
Improvement-0.6#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 410 - 510 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 129   @ South Dakota St. L 57-70 17%     0 - 1 -7.3 -18.3 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2019 121   North Dakota St. L 70-76 22%     0 - 2 -2.7 -3.3 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2019 196   Stony Brook L 58-69 39%     0 - 3 -12.8 -10.3 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2019 312   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 55-63 54%     0 - 4 -13.7 -9.3 -5.8
  Nov 30, 2019 312   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 52-55 75%     0 - 5 -14.7 -26.0 +11.3
  Dec 03, 2019 224   Sam Houston St. W 90-86 2OT 58%     1 - 5 -2.7 -8.5 +4.8
  Dec 13, 2019 8   @ Creighton L 58-89 3%     1 - 6 -12.6 -13.2 +2.8
  Dec 15, 2019 232   @ Nebraska Omaha L 82-92 36%     1 - 7 -10.9 -1.8 -8.1
  Dec 21, 2019 17   @ Texas Tech L 58-68 3%     1 - 8 +7.0 -4.3 +11.2
  Dec 30, 2019 37   @ Oklahoma L 72-91 5%     1 - 9 -4.9 -2.9 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2020 201   @ California Baptist L 67-76 29%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -8.0 -10.3 +2.6
  Jan 09, 2020 231   UMKC W 76-64 59%     2 - 10 1 - 1 +5.1 +9.7 -3.3
  Jan 11, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 87-63 97%     3 - 10 2 - 1 -2.1 -3.1 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2020 211   @ Seattle L 74-91 31%     3 - 11 2 - 2 -16.6 -1.2 -14.9
  Jan 18, 2020 255   @ Utah Valley L 70-72 41%     3 - 12 2 - 3 -4.4 -0.8 -3.7
  Jan 25, 2020 98   New Mexico St. L 62-67 26%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -2.9 -2.8 -0.7
  Jan 30, 2020 250   Grand Canyon L 79-87 64%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -16.3 -1.2 -15.1
  Feb 01, 2020 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-59 66%     4 - 14 3 - 5 +2.1 -4.4 +6.7
  Feb 06, 2020 231   @ UMKC W 73-60 36%     5 - 14 4 - 5 +12.1 +6.6 +6.4
  Feb 08, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 75-64 92%     6 - 14 5 - 5 -9.1 -7.3 -1.6
  Feb 13, 2020 255   Utah Valley W 80-72 64%     7 - 14 6 - 5 -0.4 -3.6 +2.3
  Feb 15, 2020 211   Seattle W 79-72 54%     8 - 14 7 - 5 +1.4 -3.6 +4.4
  Feb 22, 2020 98   @ New Mexico St. L 62-78 12%     8 - 15 7 - 6 -7.8 -3.6 -5.2
  Feb 27, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 59-79 43%     8 - 16 7 - 7 -22.9 -13.4 -9.6
  Feb 29, 2020 250   @ Grand Canyon W 88-80 41%     9 - 16 8 - 7 +5.7 +13.1 -7.2
  Mar 07, 2020 201   California Baptist W 79-76 OT 51%     10 - 16 9 - 7 -2.0 -9.1 +6.7
Projected Record 10 - 16 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%