Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#255
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#299
Pace73.1#74
Improvement+1.2#127

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#284
First Shot-2.0#241
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#334
Layup/Dunks+3.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#276
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#211
First Shot-1.4#226
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks-2.3#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#50
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement+1.1#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 46 - 128 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 311   @ Denver L 62-74 50%     0 - 1 -17.5 -10.5 -7.4
  Nov 15, 2019 176   @ UAB W 66-55 23%     1 - 1 +13.5 -3.4 +17.1
  Nov 18, 2019 23   @ Kentucky L 74-82 3%     1 - 2 +8.4 +5.5 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2019 248   Lamar L 68-74 61%     1 - 3 -14.2 -9.9 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2019 121   @ North Dakota St. W 68-62 14%     2 - 3 +12.3 -1.4 +13.9
  Nov 26, 2019 293   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-64 47%     2 - 4 -7.5 -12.8 +5.2
  Dec 01, 2019 101   @ Colorado St. L 61-92 11%     2 - 5 -23.0 -11.4 -11.0
  Dec 04, 2019 275   Weber St. L 67-72 65%     2 - 6 -14.4 -15.8 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2019 177   @ Southern Utah L 72-73 23%     2 - 7 +1.5 -4.3 +5.9
  Dec 14, 2019 229   Northern Arizona L 73-79 56%     2 - 8 -12.9 -10.8 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2019 227   @ Wyoming W 69-67 33%     3 - 8 +1.2 +7.4 -6.0
  Dec 21, 2019 306   @ Long Beach St. L 65-68 49%     3 - 9 -8.1 -11.1 +3.2
  Jan 02, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 94-73 91%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +0.9 +7.0 -6.9
  Jan 04, 2020 231   @ UMKC L 63-68 33%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -5.9 -11.3 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2020 211   @ Seattle L 50-83 29%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -32.6 -22.4 -10.8
  Jan 16, 2020 98   New Mexico St. L 56-70 24%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -11.9 -13.5 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2020 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-70 59%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -5.7 -3.1 -2.6
  Jan 23, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 57-58 OT 40%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -3.9 -19.9 +16.1
  Jan 25, 2020 250   @ Grand Canyon W 73-69 38%     6 - 13 3 - 4 +1.7 -4.1 +5.9
  Jan 29, 2020 201   California Baptist L 61-65 48%     6 - 14 3 - 5 -9.0 -12.6 +3.3
  Feb 08, 2020 211   Seattle L 85-87 OT 51%     6 - 15 3 - 6 -7.6 -5.6 -1.6
  Feb 13, 2020 244   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-80 36%     6 - 16 3 - 7 -9.6 -9.1 +0.2
  Feb 15, 2020 98   @ New Mexico St. L 82-84 11%     6 - 17 3 - 8 +6.2 +20.5 -14.5
  Feb 20, 2020 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-58 63%     7 - 17 4 - 8 +5.1 -1.9 +7.3
  Feb 22, 2020 250   Grand Canyon W 92-80 61%     8 - 17 5 - 8 +3.7 +10.2 -6.7
  Feb 26, 2020 201   @ California Baptist L 66-73 27%     8 - 18 5 - 9 -6.0 -13.4 +7.8
  Mar 05, 2020 231   UMKC L 51-61 56%     8 - 19 5 - 10 -16.9 -15.6 -2.9
Projected Record 8 - 19 5 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%