Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#285
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#247
Pace59.7#345
Improvement+4.2#38

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#251
First Shot-2.4#254
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#296
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement+1.6#103

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#295
First Shot-2.7#275
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#291
Layups/Dunks+2.5#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#344
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+2.6#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 12 - 4
Quad 30 - 32 - 7
Quad 412 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 334   @ Western Illinois W 77-75 57%     1 - 0 -6.8 +1.0 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2019 265   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 55-79 35%     1 - 1 -26.9 -12.8 -16.1
  Nov 18, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 51-86 2%     1 - 2 -16.7 -11.5 -6.5
  Nov 22, 2019 223   Iona L 55-60 37%     1 - 3 -8.6 -15.1 +6.0
  Nov 23, 2019 204   Monmouth W 63-55 32%     2 - 3 +5.8 -4.7 +11.2
  Nov 24, 2019 155   Western Carolina L 64-70 32%     2 - 4 -8.1 -3.8 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2019 124   @ Kent St. L 53-77 12%     2 - 5 -18.1 -15.4 -4.0
  Dec 03, 2019 290   Bethune-Cookman W 72-67 63%     3 - 5 -5.4 -0.6 -4.6
  Dec 07, 2019 252   @ VMI L 61-88 33%     3 - 6 -29.3 -5.8 -27.2
  Dec 15, 2019 315   Longwood L 72-76 69%     3 - 7 -16.2 -3.8 -12.3
  Dec 17, 2019 308   @ UNC Asheville L 76-78 43%     3 - 8 -7.2 -2.5 -4.7
  Dec 22, 2019 150   Florida International L 67-83 31%     3 - 9 -17.9 -8.5 -9.1
  Dec 30, 2019 64   @ South Carolina W 63-56 6%     4 - 9 +18.1 -0.1 +18.6
  Jan 02, 2020 236   Lipscomb L 63-66 51%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -10.3 -6.8 -3.8
  Jan 04, 2020 351   @ Kennesaw St. W 57-54 81%     5 - 10 1 - 1 -13.1 -15.1 +2.3
  Jan 11, 2020 298   Florida Gulf Coast L 62-66 OT 65%     5 - 11 1 - 2 -14.8 -6.4 -8.8
  Jan 16, 2020 283   @ North Alabama W 54-49 38%     6 - 11 2 - 2 +1.2 -16.6 +18.1
  Jan 18, 2020 246   @ Jacksonville W 64-59 31%     7 - 11 3 - 2 +3.2 -1.9 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2020 288   NJIT W 65-64 63%     8 - 11 4 - 2 -9.3 -1.4 -7.8
  Jan 25, 2020 95   Liberty W 48-43 19%     9 - 11 5 - 2 +7.3 -8.4 +17.2
  Jan 30, 2020 164   @ North Florida L 65-78 17%     9 - 12 5 - 3 -9.6 -8.2 -2.2
  Feb 01, 2020 236   @ Lipscomb W 55-53 29%     10 - 12 6 - 3 +0.8 -5.1 +6.5
  Feb 06, 2020 298   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 65-62 42%     11 - 12 7 - 3 -1.8 +6.5 -7.6
  Feb 13, 2020 283   North Alabama W 75-64 61%     12 - 12 8 - 3 +1.2 -1.5 +2.7
  Feb 15, 2020 351   Kennesaw St. W 59-42 91%     13 - 12 9 - 3 -5.1 -16.2 +12.6
  Feb 20, 2020 288   @ NJIT L 69-78 40%     13 - 13 9 - 4 -13.3 -3.0 -10.5
  Feb 22, 2020 95   @ Liberty L 49-77 8%     13 - 14 9 - 5 -19.7 -12.6 -10.7
  Feb 27, 2020 164   North Florida L 72-85 34%     13 - 15 9 - 6 -15.6 -7.4 -8.4
  Feb 29, 2020 246   Jacksonville L 52-53 53%     13 - 16 9 - 7 -8.8 -12.8 +3.8
  Mar 03, 2020 283   North Alabama W 82-72 61%     14 - 16 +0.2 +12.5 -11.4
  Mar 05, 2020 95   @ Liberty L 62-66 8%     14 - 17 +4.3 +9.4 -6.0
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%