Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
116 UC Irvine 100.0%   15   19 - 11 13 - 3 19 - 11 13 - 3 +3.8      +1.9 129 +1.9 118 67.8 214 +1.8 142 +3.8 1
174 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   19 - 10 10 - 6 19 - 10 10 - 6 -0.4      +2.0 123 -2.3 252 61.6 335 +0.6 160 -1.2 3
214 Hawaii 0.0%   16 - 13 8 - 8 16 - 13 8 - 8 -2.7      -3.6 264 +0.9 144 69.5 159 -1.7 198 -4.0 5
220 UC Riverside 0.0%   14 - 15 7 - 9 14 - 15 7 - 9 -3.5      -4.8 299 +1.2 136 59.6 348 -3.9 231 -5.5 6
221 UC Davis 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 8 12 - 18 8 - 8 -3.6      +1.2 153 -4.8 309 68.1 203 -4.7 238 -3.9 4
240 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 6 13 - 17 10 - 6 -4.3      +3.3 83 -7.6 336 73.7 63 -2.6 212 -0.6 2
269 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 10 9 - 20 6 - 10 -6.1      -4.5 288 -1.7 225 71.1 112 -7.0 279 -6.7 8
306 Long Beach St. 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 10 9 - 21 6 - 10 -8.1      -6.2 322 -1.9 233 75.3 44 -5.7 255 -6.4 7
317 Cal Poly 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 12 5 - 23 4 - 12 -9.3      -4.5 290 -4.8 310 68.7 184 -10.8 324 -9.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 2.0 100.0
Hawaii 4.0 100.0
UC Riverside 6.0 100.0
UC Davis 4.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 2.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 7.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 7.0 100.0
Cal Poly 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Irvine 13 - 3 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 10 - 6 100.0
Hawaii 8 - 8 100.0
UC Riverside 7 - 9 100.0
UC Davis 8 - 8 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 10 - 6 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6 - 10 100.0
Long Beach St. 6 - 10 100.0
Cal Poly 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara
Hawaii
UC Riverside
UC Davis
Cal St. Northridge
Cal St. Fullerton
Long Beach St.
Cal Poly


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.2 5.6 53.2 40.9
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 100.0% 7.2% 98.0% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.0% 1.0 2.0 98.0
2nd Round 10.0% 0.1 90.0 10.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0