Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
72 Yale 100.0%   12   21 - 7 11 - 3 21 - 7 11 - 3 +7.2      +3.6 78 +3.6 75 67.4 228 +8.0 65 +6.4 1
114 Harvard 0.0%   20 - 8 10 - 4 20 - 8 10 - 4 +4.0      +1.6 138 +2.4 102 69.6 158 +6.1 88 +4.7 2
136 Penn 0.0%   15 - 11 8 - 6 15 - 11 8 - 6 +2.1      +0.6 165 +1.4 127 72.8 78 +2.6 130 +1.0 5
149 Princeton 0.0%   13 - 13 9 - 5 13 - 13 9 - 5 +1.3      +2.7 100 -1.5 220 65.1 276 -0.4 178 +3.1 3
205 Dartmouth 0.0%   11 - 17 5 - 9 11 - 17 5 - 9 -2.2      -3.6 262 +1.3 129 64.1 299 -4.0 233 -4.1 6
210 Brown 0.0%   14 - 12 8 - 6 14 - 12 8 - 6 -2.6      -3.8 270 +1.3 133 71.2 111 +0.1 171 +1.7 4
264 Cornell 0.0%   5 - 20 4 - 10 5 - 20 4 - 10 -5.9      -0.7 202 -5.2 315 63.0 314 -9.8 319 -5.5 7
294 Columbia 0.0%   5 - 24 1 - 13 5 - 24 1 - 13 -7.7      -4.6 296 -3.1 273 70.8 126 -11.9 332 -14.7 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 2.0 100.0
Penn 4.0 100.0
Princeton 3.0 100.0
Dartmouth 6.0 100.0
Brown 4.0 100.0
Cornell 7.0 100.0
Columbia 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 100.0
Harvard 10 - 4 100.0
Penn 8 - 6 100.0
Princeton 9 - 5 100.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 100.0
Brown 8 - 6 100.0
Cornell 4 - 10 100.0
Columbia 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Harvard
Penn
Princeton
Dartmouth
Brown
Cornell
Columbia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 56.7 39.2 4.0 0.0
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Yale 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.7% 8.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 25.7% 0.3 74.3 25.7
Sweet Sixteen 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2
Elite Eight 1.6% 0.0 98.5 1.6
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0