Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
59 Northern Iowa 18.9%   23 - 6 14 - 4 23 - 6 14 - 4 +8.3      +6.5 34 +1.9 119 63.9 301 +9.6 51 +8.3 1
106 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 5 20 - 11 13 - 5 +4.5      +0.6 168 +3.9 73 63.3 310 +4.3 111 +7.1 2
109 Bradley 100.0%   14   22 - 11 11 - 7 22 - 11 11 - 7 +4.3      +3.0 92 +1.3 134 66.1 255 +4.5 108 +4.1 4
119 Missouri St. 0.0%   16 - 17 9 - 9 16 - 17 9 - 9 +3.4      +1.7 133 +1.7 122 68.0 204 +0.5 163 +1.4 7
128 Indiana St. 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 +2.8      +2.1 117 +0.7 150 65.8 260 +4.0 115 +4.3 3
146 Valparaiso 0.0%   18 - 16 9 - 9 18 - 16 9 - 9 +1.4      +1.5 141 -0.1 182 71.3 108 +2.0 139 +1.6 6
166 Drake 0.0%   18 - 14 8 - 10 18 - 14 8 - 10 +0.4      +0.1 178 +0.3 163 68.0 205 +2.4 133 +0.3 8
173 Southern Illinois 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -0.3      -2.9 253 +2.6 93 61.0 338 +0.1 172 +3.2 5
217 Illinois St. 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 9 - 21 5 - 13 -2.9      -2.9 252 0.0 174 68.9 176 -3.7 227 -3.8 9
279 Evansville 0.0%   8 - 23 0 - 18 8 - 23 0 - 18 -6.6      -3.7 265 -2.9 267 67.9 212 -6.3 267 -17.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northern Iowa 1.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 2.0 100.0
Bradley 3.0 100.0
Missouri St. 6.0 100.0
Indiana St. 3.0 100.0
Valparaiso 6.0 100.0
Drake 8.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 5.0 100.0
Illinois St. 9.0 100.0
Evansville 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northern Iowa 14 - 4 100.0
Loyola Chicago 13 - 5 100.0
Bradley 11 - 7 100.0
Missouri St. 9 - 9 100.0
Indiana St. 11 - 7 100.0
Valparaiso 9 - 9 100.0
Drake 8 - 10 100.0
Southern Illinois 10 - 8 100.0
Illinois St. 5 - 13 100.0
Evansville 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northern Iowa 100.0% 100.0
Loyola Chicago
Bradley
Missouri St.
Indiana St.
Valparaiso
Drake
Southern Illinois
Illinois St.
Evansville


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northern Iowa 18.9% 0.0% 18.9% 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.3 9.2 0.0 81.1 18.9%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bradley 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.7 24.5 60.1 13.7 0.1
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northern Iowa 18.9% 17.9% 8.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.2 81.1 18.9
1st Round 100.0% 1.1 91.1 8.9
2nd Round 16.6% 0.2 83.4 16.2 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8 0.0
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0