Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
181 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 -0.8      +3.4 82 -4.2 299 69.9 150 0.0 173 -1.4 3
206 Sacred Heart 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 -2.3      -0.3 189 -1.9 238 70.4 134 -2.7 213 -2.3 4
208 Robert Morris 100.0%   16   19 - 14 13 - 5 19 - 14 13 - 5 -2.5      -1.7 224 -0.8 203 64.7 289 -2.3 204 -1.0 2
233 Merrimack 0.0%   19 - 11 14 - 4 19 - 11 14 - 4 -4.0      -6.4 327 +2.4 100 59.8 344 -0.5 179 +1.1 1
254 Bryant 0.0%   14 - 17 7 - 11 14 - 17 7 - 11 -5.4      -3.8 269 -1.6 222 73.3 69 -6.0 261 -9.8 9
274 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   14 - 18 9 - 9 14 - 18 9 - 9 -6.3      -3.8 266 -2.5 258 78.6 23 -6.3 269 -6.7 6
282 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   10 - 19 9 - 9 10 - 19 9 - 9 -6.8      -0.1 185 -6.7 329 69.1 170 -8.0 294 -6.5 5
293 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 11 10 - 21 7 - 11 -7.5      -3.8 268 -3.7 287 59.6 346 -9.6 316 -8.8 8
309 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -8.3      -5.4 312 -2.9 269 72.8 79 -7.7 290 -8.6 7
336 Wagner 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 13 7 - 21 5 - 13 -12.1      -4.1 277 -8.0 340 67.8 216 -11.4 327 -12.1 10
346 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   3 - 27 3 - 15 3 - 27 3 - 15 -16.1      -8.1 341 -8.0 339 71.7 101 -17.1 346 -14.9 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. Francis (PA) 2.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 4.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
Bryant 7.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 5.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 7.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.0 100.0
Wagner 10.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Francis (PA) 13 - 5 100.0
Sacred Heart 12 - 6 100.0
Robert Morris 13 - 5 100.0
Merrimack 14 - 4 100.0
Bryant 7 - 11 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 9 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 7 - 11 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 7 - 11 100.0
Wagner 5 - 13 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Francis (PA)
Sacred Heart
Robert Morris
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
Bryant
LIU Brooklyn
Fairleigh Dickinson
Mount St. Mary's
St. Francis Brooklyn
Wagner
Central Connecticut St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0% 41.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 41.7% 0.4 58.3 41.7
2nd Round 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0