Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
23 Kentucky 100.0%   4   25 - 6 15 - 3 25 - 6 15 - 3 +13.4      +7.7 19 +5.7 39 67.9 211 +15.8 10 +17.5 1
32 Florida 85.8%   9   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 +12.2      +7.3 25 +4.9 54 62.9 316 +10.2 46 +10.5 5
33 Auburn 100.0%   5   25 - 6 12 - 6 25 - 6 12 - 6 +11.5      +6.6 32 +4.9 55 70.9 121 +14.6 15 +12.5 2
36 LSU 95.6%   8   21 - 10 12 - 6 21 - 10 12 - 6 +11.3      +11.1 3 +0.1 169 72.7 80 +10.7 39 +12.2 3
47 Mississippi St. 34.2%   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +9.7      +7.7 18 +2.0 113 65.0 279 +9.4 54 +10.8 4
48 Arkansas 17.8%   20 - 12 7 - 11 20 - 12 7 - 11 +9.6      +5.3 47 +4.3 66 74.8 49 +8.7 59 +5.5 10
54 Alabama 0.2%   16 - 15 8 - 10 16 - 15 8 - 10 +8.9      +6.4 35 +2.5 98 83.0 4 +6.6 81 +6.8 9
61 Tennessee 6.2%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 +8.3      +3.6 77 +4.8 58 63.3 312 +8.2 63 +8.5 8
64 South Carolina 5.8%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +8.1      +2.6 106 +5.6 42 78.7 21 +7.6 70 +9.0 7
87 Missouri 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 11 15 - 16 7 - 11 +6.1      +1.9 130 +4.2 68 65.3 272 +5.8 92 +5.5 11
89 Georgia 0.0%   15 - 16 5 - 13 15 - 16 5 - 13 +6.0      +4.6 55 +1.3 131 73.2 71 +6.3 86 +3.1 13
93 Mississippi 0.0%   15 - 17 6 - 12 15 - 17 6 - 12 +5.5      +1.2 152 +4.3 67 68.6 191 +4.9 103 +4.9 12
110 Texas A&M 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 +4.2      +0.1 175 +4.1 70 61.9 333 +6.4 85 +9.8 6
151 Vanderbilt 0.0%   11 - 21 3 - 15 11 - 21 3 - 15 +1.1      +1.7 134 -0.6 199 71.0 117 +0.1 170 -0.3 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Florida 4.0 100.0
Auburn 2.0 100.0
LSU 2.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 4.0 100.0
Arkansas 10.0 100.0
Alabama 9.0 100.0
Tennessee 8.0 100.0
South Carolina 6.0 100.0
Missouri 10.0 100.0
Georgia 13.0 100.0
Mississippi 12.0 100.0
Texas A&M 6.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 15 - 3 100.0
Florida 11 - 7 100.0
Auburn 12 - 6 100.0
LSU 12 - 6 100.0
Mississippi St. 11 - 7 100.0
Arkansas 7 - 11 100.0
Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Tennessee 9 - 9 100.0
South Carolina 10 - 8 100.0
Missouri 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia 5 - 13 100.0
Mississippi 6 - 12 100.0
Texas A&M 10 - 8 100.0
Vanderbilt 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Florida
Auburn
LSU
Mississippi St.
Arkansas
Alabama
Tennessee
South Carolina
Missouri
Georgia
Mississippi
Texas A&M
Vanderbilt


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4   0.2 4.1 35.1 50.1 10.3 0.2
Florida 85.8% 0.0% 85.8% 9   0.0 1.0 7.1 27.3 31.5 16.9 2.0 14.2 85.8%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 1.1 13.0 51.5 31.9 2.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
LSU 95.6% 0.0% 95.6% 8   0.5 7.1 24.6 38.0 21.2 4.0 0.2 4.4 95.6%
Mississippi St. 34.2% 0.0% 34.2% 0.1 0.6 5.3 22.1 6.1 65.9 34.2%
Arkansas 17.8% 0.0% 17.8% 0.3 10.0 7.5 82.2 17.8%
Alabama 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.2%
Tennessee 6.2% 0.0% 6.2% 1.9 4.3 0.0 93.8 6.2%
South Carolina 5.8% 0.0% 5.8% 0.1 2.3 3.4 94.3 5.8%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.0% 43.8% 18.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.5%
Florida 85.8% 0.8% 85.4% 46.4% 15.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.4% 28.9% 9.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
LSU 95.6% 0.1% 95.6% 49.3% 15.3% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Mississippi St. 34.2% 24.6% 21.9% 8.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 17.8% 16.9% 9.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee 6.2% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 5.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.5 0.1 7.5 47.2 37.7 7.1 0.4 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 4.2 0.3 11.1 61.8 24.9 1.8 0.0
2nd Round 98.5% 2.5 1.5 12.6 33.6 36.9 14.3 1.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 74.5% 1.1 25.5 46.8 22.4 4.9 0.4
Elite Eight 37.7% 0.4 62.3 32.5 4.9 0.3 0.0
Final Four 15.8% 0.2 84.2 15.1 0.7
Final Game 6.4% 0.1 93.6 6.4 0.0
Champion 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2