Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
65 East Tennessee St. 100.0%   12   27 - 4 16 - 2 27 - 4 16 - 2 +8.1      +3.8 72 +4.3 64 64.8 285 +12.9 26 +12.1 1
83 Furman 0.4%   22 - 7 15 - 3 22 - 7 15 - 3 +6.3      +3.2 88 +3.2 83 68.6 188 +7.8 67 +9.7 2
96 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   21 - 9 12 - 5 21 - 9 12 - 5 +5.3      +0.8 163 +4.5 61 67.8 213 +5.7 94 +5.6 3
143 Chattanooga 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +1.5      +3.2 87 -1.7 226 66.7 242 +1.6 146 +1.1 6
148 Wofford 0.0%   17 - 16 8 - 10 17 - 16 8 - 10 +1.3      +1.6 137 -0.3 189 64.0 300 +0.3 169 -2.1 7
155 Western Carolina 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 8 17 - 12 10 - 8 +0.9      +3.5 79 -2.6 260 75.3 43 +2.4 134 +1.2 5
187 Mercer 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 7 15 - 15 11 - 7 -1.2      -1.2 211 0.0 175 68.6 190 -1.1 189 +3.2 4
252 VMI 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 14 6 - 24 3 - 14 -5.3      -1.6 222 -3.7 288 68.5 196 -11.7 330 -11.2 9
321 Samford 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 14 7 - 23 4 - 14 -10.0      -2.6 245 -7.3 335 78.0 28 -8.3 300 -7.8 8
335 The Citadel 0.0%   3 - 24 0 - 18 3 - 24 0 - 18 -12.1      -5.6 316 -6.5 327 81.0 9 -14.1 337 -21.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
East Tennessee St. 1.0 100.0
Furman 2.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 3.0 100.0
Chattanooga 5.0 100.0
Wofford 7.0 100.0
Western Carolina 5.0 100.0
Mercer 4.0 100.0
VMI 9.0 100.0
Samford 8.0 100.0
The Citadel 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
East Tennessee St. 16 - 2 100.0
Furman 15 - 3 100.0
UNC Greensboro 12 - 6 100.0
Chattanooga 10 - 8 100.0
Wofford 8 - 10 100.0
Western Carolina 10 - 8 100.0
Mercer 11 - 7 100.0
VMI 3 - 15 100.0
Samford 4 - 14 100.0
The Citadel 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0
Furman
UNC Greensboro
Chattanooga
Wofford
Western Carolina
Mercer
VMI
Samford
The Citadel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.2 1.2 6.1 16.0 53.0 23.5
Furman 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
East Tennessee St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 31.1% 8.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Furman 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
2nd Round 31.1% 0.3 68.9 31.1
Sweet Sixteen 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Elite Eight 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Final Four 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0