Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 New Mexico St. 100.0%   14   23 - 6 16 - 0 23 - 6 16 - 0 +5.2      +3.4 81 +1.7 121 60.4 343 +6.5 83 +13.7 1
201 California Baptist 0.0%   17 - 10 10 - 6 17 - 10 10 - 6 -2.0      +2.1 116 -4.1 296 69.9 145 -1.1 190 -1.6 2
211 Seattle 0.0%   12 - 15 7 - 7 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.6      -0.6 198 -2.0 240 71.9 93 -5.0 243 -3.9 4
231 UMKC 0.0%   13 - 14 8 - 7 13 - 14 8 - 7 -3.9      -3.4 259 -0.6 197 62.9 317 -2.9 215 -4.2 5
244 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   10 - 16 9 - 7 10 - 16 9 - 7 -4.7      -2.2 231 -2.4 256 73.7 65 -5.8 257 -2.9 3
250 Grand Canyon 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 8 13 - 16 8 - 8 -5.3      +0.9 158 -6.2 322 68.2 200 -4.8 240 -4.5 6
255 Utah Valley 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 10 8 - 19 5 - 10 -5.4      -4.3 284 -1.1 211 73.1 74 -8.2 299 -8.1 8
263 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 10 9 - 19 6 - 10 -5.9      -4.5 291 -1.4 218 62.8 323 -8.0 295 -8.0 7
353 Chicago St. 0.0%   1 - 25 0 - 14 1 - 25 0 - 14 -23.1      -11.0 349 -12.1 351 71.4 106 -21.5 353 -22.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
New Mexico St. 1.0 100.0
California Baptist 2.0 100.0
Seattle 6.0 100.0
UMKC 4.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 3.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 4.0 100.0
Utah Valley 8.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 7.0 100.0
Chicago St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
New Mexico St. 16 - 0 100.0
California Baptist 10 - 6 100.0
Seattle 7 - 9 100.0
UMKC 8 - 8 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 9 - 7 100.0
Grand Canyon 8 - 8 100.0
Utah Valley 5 - 11 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 6 - 10 100.0
Chicago St. 0 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0
California Baptist
Seattle
UMKC
UT Rio Grande Valley
Grand Canyon
Utah Valley
Cal St. Bakersfield
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   4.4 37.9 51.8 5.8 0.0
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.2% 0.2 82.8 17.2
Sweet Sixteen 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Elite Eight 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0