Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#244
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.5#71
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 10.5% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 13.9 14.9
.500 or above 40.2% 75.8% 39.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 68.6% 44.8%
Conference Champion 5.4% 14.7% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 3.9% 14.0%
First Four1.0% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round4.7% 10.5% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 11   @ Villanova L 57-81 1%    
  Nov 12, 2019 170   Air Force L 71-72 45%    
  Nov 18, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-71 63%    
  Nov 23, 2019 339   @ Binghamton W 72-67 67%    
  Nov 30, 2019 328   @ Marist W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 04, 2019 175   NJIT L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 07, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 77-76 54%    
  Dec 11, 2019 304   @ Merrimack W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 14, 2019 104   @ Buffalo L 75-87 15%    
  Dec 21, 2019 331   @ Wagner W 68-64 62%    
  Jan 02, 2020 159   @ Bucknell L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 06, 2020 127   Colgate L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 08, 2020 184   American W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 200   @ Boston University L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 15, 2020 312   @ Holy Cross W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 209   Loyola Maryland W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 22, 2020 261   @ Lafayette L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 267   @ Navy L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 29, 2020 159   Bucknell L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 01, 2020 227   @ Lehigh L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 05, 2020 200   Boston University W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 184   @ American L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 12, 2020 261   Lafayette W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 15, 2020 227   Lehigh W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 19, 2020 209   @ Loyola Maryland L 73-78 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 267   Navy W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 26, 2020 312   Holy Cross W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 29, 2020 127   @ Colgate L 68-78 20%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.6 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 8.8 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.4 6.7 8.8 9.6 10.8 11.1 10.6 9.6 8.5 6.4 4.6 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.1% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 77.1% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.1% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.8% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 68.6% 55.4% 13.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.6%
17-1 0.3% 50.5% 50.2% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7%
16-2 0.7% 27.6% 27.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.6% 25.9% 25.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 2.8% 22.3% 22.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.2
13-5 4.6% 16.1% 16.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.8
12-6 6.4% 12.7% 12.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 5.6
11-7 8.5% 7.7% 7.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 7.8
10-8 9.6% 5.6% 5.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.1
9-9 10.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.1
8-10 11.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.8
7-11 10.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.6
5-13 8.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 94.8 0.0%