Preseason Rankings
Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#328
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.6#328
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 3.0% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 19.5% 34.4% 12.8%
.500 or above in Conference 22.1% 32.6% 17.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.4% 19.6% 33.8%
First Four1.0% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round1.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Away) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 7
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 300   @ VMI L 69-74 31%    
  Nov 12, 2019 321   Hartford W 68-65 59%    
  Nov 16, 2019 233   @ Fordham L 58-67 19%    
  Nov 23, 2019 306   The Citadel W 78-77 54%    
  Nov 30, 2019 244   Army L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 07, 2019 267   @ Navy L 61-69 26%    
  Dec 16, 2019 180   @ Rider L 68-80 15%    
  Dec 18, 2019 334   New Hampshire W 64-60 63%    
  Dec 21, 2019 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 28, 2019 173   @ Columbia L 62-75 13%    
  Jan 03, 2020 256   Quinnipiac L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 05, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's L 58-63 33%    
  Jan 08, 2020 288   @ Fairfield L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 12, 2020 180   Rider L 71-77 32%    
  Jan 16, 2020 239   @ Monmouth L 61-70 22%    
  Jan 19, 2020 161   Iona L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 22, 2020 259   Manhattan L 58-60 43%    
  Jan 24, 2020 251   @ Siena L 56-64 24%    
  Jan 31, 2020 315   @ Niagara L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 02, 2020 295   @ Canisius L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 07, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 61-60 53%    
  Feb 14, 2020 288   Fairfield L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 16, 2020 161   @ Iona L 66-79 14%    
  Feb 21, 2020 239   Monmouth L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 23, 2020 315   Niagara W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 26, 2020 259   @ Manhattan L 55-63 25%    
  Feb 28, 2020 251   Siena L 59-61 42%    
  Mar 01, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 64-72 26%    
  Mar 04, 2020 295   Canisius W 68-67 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 3.3 0.8 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 3.7 1.0 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.5 5.3 3.3 1.0 0.1 16.7 10th
11th 1.1 3.1 4.8 5.6 4.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 21.7 11th
Total 1.1 3.2 5.2 7.7 9.7 10.8 11.0 11.0 9.6 8.6 6.7 5.2 3.8 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 95.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 66.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 42.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 59.5% 59.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 31.9% 31.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.2% 25.5% 25.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 23.3% 23.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.0% 12.4% 12.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
14-6 1.8% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5
13-7 2.7% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4
12-8 3.8% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.6
11-9 5.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.0
10-10 6.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.6
9-11 8.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.5
8-12 9.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-13 11.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.9
6-14 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-15 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-16 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-17 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.7
2-18 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-19 3.2% 3.2
0-20 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%