Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#233
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#312
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#310
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 13.3
.500 or above 35.0% 41.6% 16.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 19.1% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.2% 21.0% 33.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Home) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 410 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 293   St. Francis Brooklyn W 69-62 73%    
  Nov 13, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-65 65%    
  Nov 16, 2019 328   Marist W 67-58 81%    
  Nov 22, 2019 95   Nevada L 64-73 23%    
  Dec 01, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 53-38 91%    
  Dec 07, 2019 259   Manhattan W 60-56 65%    
  Dec 10, 2019 314   Bryant W 72-64 76%    
  Dec 15, 2019 272   Tennessee St. W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 20, 2019 232   James Madison W 65-62 60%    
  Dec 30, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 74-61 88%    
  Jan 02, 2020 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-75 5%    
  Jan 05, 2020 189   La Salle W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-66 19%    
  Jan 15, 2020 126   @ Duquesne L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 19, 2020 52   Davidson L 58-69 19%    
  Jan 22, 2020 190   George Washington W 65-64 53%    
  Jan 26, 2020 141   @ Saint Louis L 58-66 25%    
  Jan 29, 2020 115   St. Bonaventure L 58-63 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 60   @ Dayton L 56-72 10%    
  Feb 08, 2020 105   Richmond L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 11, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 55-72 9%    
  Feb 16, 2020 126   Duquesne L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 19, 2020 189   @ La Salle L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 22, 2020 237   Massachusetts W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 26, 2020 86   Rhode Island L 62-69 28%    
  Feb 29, 2020 221   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-69 38%    
  Mar 04, 2020 190   @ George Washington L 62-67 35%    
  Mar 07, 2020 151   George Mason L 65-67 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.3 1.9 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.5 1.0 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.1 5.1 1.6 0.1 14.0 12th
13th 0.5 2.6 5.6 5.2 1.6 0.1 15.6 13th
14th 1.4 4.3 5.2 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.7 14th
Total 1.4 4.8 8.0 11.2 12.9 13.2 12.5 10.8 8.7 6.6 4.0 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 61.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 46.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 23.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 3.1% 96.9% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 66.5% 30.4% 36.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.8%
15-3 0.2% 36.3% 28.3% 8.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1%
14-4 0.3% 3.7% 1.4% 2.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3%
13-5 0.9% 6.4% 5.5% 0.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.9%
12-6 1.7% 5.1% 4.7% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.5%
11-7 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
10-8 4.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
9-9 6.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
8-10 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 12.5% 12.5
5-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.2
4-14 12.9% 12.9
3-15 11.2% 11.2
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 4.8% 4.8
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%