Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#321
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#231
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 16.4% 24.1% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 26.6% 33.0% 19.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.0% 15.2% 25.1%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Away) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 342   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-72 52%    
  Nov 07, 2019 218   Winthrop L 75-79 36%    
  Nov 12, 2019 328   @ Marist L 65-68 41%    
  Nov 18, 2019 201   @ Oakland L 68-79 17%    
  Nov 24, 2019 304   Merrimack W 71-70 54%    
  Nov 27, 2019 89   @ SMU L 59-77 5%    
  Nov 30, 2019 156   @ Texas St. L 60-73 12%    
  Dec 05, 2019 293   St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 08, 2019 249   Sacred Heart L 76-78 42%    
  Dec 14, 2019 331   Wagner W 66-62 65%    
  Dec 22, 2019 282   Cornell L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 29, 2019 99   @ Northwestern L 57-74 7%    
  Dec 31, 2019 108   @ Bowling Green L 66-83 7%    
  Jan 04, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 67-62 65%    
  Jan 08, 2020 263   @ Umass Lowell L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 15, 2020 196   Stony Brook L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 58-77 5%    
  Jan 22, 2020 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 25, 2020 178   @ Albany L 64-76 17%    
  Jan 29, 2020 339   Binghamton W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 01, 2020 333   @ Maine L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 05, 2020 206   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 08, 2020 84   Vermont L 61-74 14%    
  Feb 12, 2020 178   Albany L 67-73 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 263   Umass Lowell L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 20, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 22, 2020 339   @ Binghamton L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 26, 2020 196   @ Stony Brook L 65-76 19%    
  Mar 03, 2020 333   Maine W 68-64 63%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 6.1 4.5 1.2 0.1 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.1 7.5 4.4 0.8 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 7.7 3.7 0.4 0.0 18.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 5.7 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 16.0 8th
9th 0.9 3.1 4.5 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.6 9th
Total 0.9 3.2 6.5 9.9 12.5 14.2 13.8 12.3 9.7 7.3 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 73.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 52.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 20.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 7.0% 7.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 23.2% 23.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.7% 15.4% 15.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.3% 11.1% 11.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
11-5 2.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.4
10-6 4.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.6
9-7 7.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.1
8-8 9.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
7-9 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.2
6-10 13.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.7
5-11 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
3-13 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-14 6.5% 6.5
1-15 3.2% 3.2
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%