Preseason Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#99
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#277
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#36
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.2% 2.3% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 9.6% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.0% 9.4% 2.9%
Average Seed 8.4 8.3 9.1
.500 or above 23.6% 24.9% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 10.6% 3.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.1% 34.7% 53.6%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 0.5%
First Round8.4% 8.8% 2.6%
Second Round4.1% 4.3% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 44 - 012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 304   Merrimack W 74-58 93%    
  Nov 13, 2019 36   Providence L 63-67 36%    
  Nov 19, 2019 134   Radford W 67-61 70%    
  Nov 22, 2019 318   Norfolk St. W 75-58 94%    
  Nov 25, 2019 136   Bradley W 64-61 59%    
  Dec 03, 2019 101   @ Boston College L 64-67 40%    
  Dec 08, 2019 12   @ Purdue L 59-74 10%    
  Dec 15, 2019 324   SIU Edwardsville W 78-60 93%    
  Dec 18, 2019 1   Michigan St. L 61-76 10%    
  Dec 21, 2019 97   @ DePaul L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 29, 2019 321   Hartford W 74-57 93%    
  Jan 05, 2020 70   @ Minnesota L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 08, 2020 47   @ Indiana L 60-69 23%    
  Jan 11, 2020 88   Nebraska W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 14, 2020 39   Iowa L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 42   @ Illinois L 66-76 22%    
  Jan 21, 2020 9   Maryland L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 26, 2020 14   Ohio St. L 60-67 27%    
  Jan 29, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 58-79 4%    
  Feb 01, 2020 12   Purdue L 62-71 24%    
  Feb 09, 2020 66   @ Rutgers L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 12, 2020 21   Michigan L 59-64 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 43   @ Penn St. L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 18, 2020 9   @ Maryland L 58-73 10%    
  Feb 23, 2020 70   Minnesota L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 27, 2020 42   Illinois L 69-73 38%    
  Mar 01, 2020 88   @ Nebraska L 63-68 36%    
  Mar 04, 2020 33   @ Wisconsin L 55-65 19%    
  Mar 07, 2020 43   Penn St. L 64-67 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 13.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 4.7 6.4 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 18.4 13th
14th 2.1 6.1 7.8 6.4 2.9 0.6 0.1 26.1 14th
Total 2.1 6.2 9.6 11.7 12.6 12.9 11.5 9.8 7.4 5.9 4.0 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 44.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 7.6% 92.4% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.5% 98.6% 4.5% 94.1% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
13-7 1.0% 97.6% 3.5% 94.1% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%
12-8 1.6% 90.9% 3.8% 87.1% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 90.6%
11-9 2.6% 78.7% 1.8% 77.0% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 78.3%
10-10 4.0% 51.0% 0.1% 50.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 51.0%
9-11 5.9% 21.4% 0.0% 21.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.6 21.4%
8-12 7.4% 5.8% 0.2% 5.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.0 5.6%
7-13 9.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.6%
6-14 11.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.1%
5-15 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 12.9
4-16 12.6% 12.6
3-17 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 11.7
2-18 9.6% 9.6
1-19 6.2% 6.2
0-20 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 9.2% 0.2% 8.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 90.8 9.0%