Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.3#296
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 15.6% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.6
.500 or above 65.1% 75.5% 51.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 70.7% 55.6%
Conference Champion 14.6% 18.0% 10.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.9% 9.6%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round12.5% 15.2% 8.9%
Second Round2.2% 3.0% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 68 - 11
Quad 49 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 221   @ Saint Joseph's W 69-67 57%    
  Nov 09, 2019 253   IUPUI W 74-64 81%    
  Nov 16, 2019 131   Illinois-Chicago W 71-68 60%    
  Nov 19, 2019 318   Norfolk St. W 75-60 91%    
  Nov 22, 2019 134   Radford W 66-63 60%    
  Nov 25, 2019 99   Northwestern L 61-64 41%    
  Dec 03, 2019 26   @ Memphis L 68-82 11%    
  Dec 07, 2019 325   N.C. A&T W 73-58 90%    
  Dec 15, 2019 122   Georgia Southern W 75-73 55%    
  Dec 21, 2019 150   @ Miami (OH) L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 28, 2019 112   Toledo W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 31, 2019 145   Drake W 71-67 62%    
  Jan 04, 2020 114   @ Northern Iowa L 60-65 34%    
  Jan 08, 2020 182   @ Evansville W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 207   Southern Illinois W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 15, 2020 125   @ Missouri St. L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 18, 2020 114   Northern Iowa W 63-62 54%    
  Jan 22, 2020 187   Illinois St. W 68-62 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 158   @ Indiana St. L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 29, 2020 199   Valparaiso W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 01, 2020 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-63 33%    
  Feb 05, 2020 145   @ Drake L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 09, 2020 182   Evansville W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 12, 2020 158   Indiana St. W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 15, 2020 207   @ Southern Illinois W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 19, 2020 125   Missouri St. W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 22, 2020 199   @ Valparaiso W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 26, 2020 187   @ Illinois St. W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 29, 2020 109   Loyola Chicago W 61-60 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.7 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 14.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.8 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.8 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9 3.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 4.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.1 4.9 6.5 8.4 9.9 11.0 10.6 10.3 10.3 8.0 6.2 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.3 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 98.3% 2.3    2.1 0.2
15-3 86.4% 3.6    2.7 0.9 0.0
14-4 59.4% 3.7    2.2 1.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 33.1% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.6% 14.6 9.4 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 73.8% 51.1% 22.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 46.5%
17-1 1.0% 68.2% 49.1% 19.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 37.5%
16-2 2.4% 58.1% 46.4% 11.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 21.8%
15-3 4.2% 37.5% 32.4% 5.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 7.5%
14-4 6.2% 31.6% 30.3% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 4.2 1.8%
13-5 8.0% 22.3% 22.2% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.2 0.2%
12-6 10.3% 18.0% 18.0% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 8.4 0.1%
11-7 10.3% 12.1% 12.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 9.1
10-8 10.6% 8.3% 8.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.7
9-9 11.0% 5.6% 5.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.4
8-10 9.9% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.6
7-11 8.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2
6-12 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-16 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.8% 12.0% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.2 2.7 1.6 0.4 87.2 1.0%