Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#33
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.7#343
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#76
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#15
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.6% 4.4% 1.1%
Top 2 Seed 6.9% 10.9% 3.7%
Top 4 Seed 18.7% 27.5% 11.6%
Top 6 Seed 31.8% 43.6% 22.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.1% 69.4% 45.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.3% 67.6% 44.0%
Average Seed 6.0 5.6 6.5
.500 or above 70.3% 82.8% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.7% 64.7% 48.5%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 2.5% 5.9%
First Four2.3% 2.0% 2.4%
First Round55.0% 68.4% 44.3%
Second Round36.9% 47.8% 28.0%
Sweet Sixteen17.5% 24.0% 12.4%
Elite Eight8.0% 11.2% 5.3%
Final Four3.5% 5.3% 2.0%
Championship Game1.5% 2.3% 0.9%
National Champion0.6% 0.9% 0.3%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Neutral) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 10
Quad 25 - 210 - 13
Quad 34 - 114 - 14
Quad 44 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 19   St. Mary's L 61-62 45%    
  Nov 08, 2019 255   Eastern Illinois W 75-55 97%    
  Nov 13, 2019 316   McNeese St. W 76-52 99%    
  Nov 17, 2019 27   Marquette W 69-66 59%    
  Nov 21, 2019 167   Green Bay W 80-65 91%    
  Nov 25, 2019 105   Richmond W 70-62 75%    
  Dec 04, 2019 22   @ North Carolina St. L 69-73 37%    
  Dec 07, 2019 47   Indiana W 66-61 65%    
  Dec 11, 2019 66   @ Rutgers W 64-63 53%    
  Dec 21, 2019 250   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-53 96%    
  Dec 28, 2019 30   @ Tennessee L 65-68 38%    
  Dec 31, 2019 180   Rider W 80-64 92%    
  Jan 03, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. L 59-65 31%    
  Jan 08, 2020 42   Illinois W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 11, 2020 43   @ Penn St. L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 14, 2020 9   Maryland L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 17, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 21, 2020 88   Nebraska W 69-60 77%    
  Jan 24, 2020 12   @ Purdue L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 27, 2020 39   @ Iowa L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 05, 2020 70   @ Minnesota W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 09, 2020 14   Ohio St. L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 15, 2020 88   @ Nebraska W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 18, 2020 12   Purdue L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 23, 2020 66   Rutgers W 67-60 71%    
  Feb 27, 2020 21   @ Michigan L 59-63 37%    
  Mar 01, 2020 70   Minnesota W 69-62 73%    
  Mar 04, 2020 99   Northwestern W 65-55 81%    
  Mar 07, 2020 47   @ Indiana L 63-64 46%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.1 4.5 6.0 7.9 9.6 10.7 11.1 10.3 9.4 8.3 6.4 4.5 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 91.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
17-3 66.8% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.0
16-4 35.7% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1
15-5 12.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 46.3% 53.7% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 37.9% 62.1% 1.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 28.0% 72.0% 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.1% 100.0% 16.2% 83.8% 2.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.5% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 3.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 6.4% 99.6% 9.3% 90.3% 4.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-7 8.3% 99.3% 7.6% 91.7% 5.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.3%
12-8 9.4% 97.0% 3.8% 93.2% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 96.9%
11-9 10.3% 87.4% 2.2% 85.2% 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 87.1%
10-10 11.1% 68.2% 1.3% 67.0% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 67.8%
9-11 10.7% 38.2% 0.9% 37.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.6 37.7%
8-12 9.6% 12.6% 0.6% 12.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 12.0%
7-13 7.9% 2.7% 0.3% 2.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 2.4%
6-14 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.9%
5-15 4.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 56.1% 4.0% 52.2% 6.0 2.6 4.3 5.9 5.9 6.6 6.5 6.0 6.3 4.7 3.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 43.9 54.3%