Preseason Rankings
Tennessee
Southeastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#30
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#177
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#21
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#50
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.6% 3.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 8.5% 8.6% 2.4%
Top 4 Seed 21.5% 21.7% 4.8%
Top 6 Seed 34.6% 34.9% 10.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.4% 63.8% 27.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.7% 61.1% 25.3%
Average Seed 6.1 6.1 7.2
.500 or above 79.4% 79.9% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 68.1% 41.7%
Conference Champion 8.4% 8.4% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 3.0% 10.4%
First Four3.1% 3.1% 1.7%
First Round61.8% 62.2% 26.5%
Second Round41.3% 41.7% 15.3%
Sweet Sixteen20.0% 20.2% 5.8%
Elite Eight9.0% 9.1% 2.4%
Final Four4.0% 4.1% 1.2%
Championship Game1.7% 1.7% 0.6%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 25 - 311 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 301   UNC Asheville W 79-56 99%    
  Nov 12, 2019 119   Murray St. W 81-69 87%    
  Nov 16, 2019 44   Washington W 71-69 57%    
  Nov 20, 2019 332   Alabama St. W 86-59 99%    
  Nov 25, 2019 235   Chattanooga W 82-63 95%    
  Nov 29, 2019 18   Florida St. L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 04, 2019 341   Florida A&M W 81-52 99%    
  Dec 14, 2019 26   Memphis W 83-80 59%    
  Dec 18, 2019 29   @ Cincinnati L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 21, 2019 216   Jacksonville St. W 80-62 94%    
  Dec 28, 2019 33   Wisconsin W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 05, 2020 20   LSU W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 07, 2020 53   @ Missouri L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 11, 2020 78   South Carolina W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 15, 2020 62   @ Georgia W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 18, 2020 124   @ Vanderbilt W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 21, 2020 51   Mississippi W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 28, 2020 61   Texas A&M W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 01, 2020 48   @ Mississippi St. L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 04, 2020 45   @ Alabama L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 2   Kentucky L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 11, 2020 57   Arkansas W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 15, 2020 78   @ South Carolina W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 18, 2020 124   Vanderbilt W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 26, 2020 57   @ Arkansas W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 7   Florida L 67-69 44%    
  Mar 03, 2020 2   @ Kentucky L 66-76 20%    
  Mar 07, 2020 25   Auburn W 76-73 59%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 8.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.7 0.9 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.1 1.1 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 4.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 3.7 2.3 0.2 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.1 0.1 5.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.2 5.9 8.1 9.3 11.4 11.4 11.5 10.4 8.9 6.5 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 88.1% 2.1    1.7 0.5 0.0
15-3 62.2% 2.6    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 28.4% 1.8    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 4.9 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 59.0% 41.0% 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 43.1% 56.9% 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.4% 100.0% 32.5% 67.5% 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.2% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 2.4 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 6.5% 99.8% 14.2% 85.6% 3.4 0.6 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-5 8.9% 99.5% 15.1% 84.4% 4.5 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 10.4% 98.4% 8.5% 90.0% 5.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 98.3%
11-7 11.5% 93.0% 5.9% 87.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 92.6%
10-8 11.4% 80.2% 2.8% 77.4% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 79.7%
9-9 11.4% 57.7% 2.0% 55.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.8 56.8%
8-10 9.3% 29.1% 0.9% 28.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.6 28.5%
7-11 8.1% 10.1% 0.2% 10.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 7.2 10.0%
6-12 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 1.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 1.7%
5-13 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 0.5%
4-14 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 2.5 0.0%
3-15 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 63.4% 6.8% 56.6% 6.1 3.6 4.9 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.5 5.8 4.9 3.7 1.0 0.0 36.6 60.7%