Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.3#136
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#32
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#83
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 8.1% 8.3% 1.2%
Top 6 Seed 16.8% 17.2% 4.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.8% 43.8% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.0% 42.0% 16.0%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 8.1
.500 or above 72.2% 73.4% 38.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 46.1% 22.2%
Conference Champion 2.7% 2.7% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.9% 17.2%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 2.3%
First Round40.8% 41.7% 15.5%
Second Round23.5% 24.1% 8.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.4% 9.6% 2.7%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.1% 0.7%
Final Four1.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 271   Arkansas St. W 85-66 96%    
  Nov 12, 2019 318   Norfolk St. W 85-62 98%    
  Nov 15, 2019 231   Western Michigan W 83-66 93%    
  Nov 19, 2019 168   Seattle W 79-66 88%    
  Nov 23, 2019 26   @ Memphis L 80-86 30%    
  Nov 27, 2019 43   Penn St. L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 03, 2019 56   Butler W 74-71 62%    
  Dec 07, 2019 197   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-63 91%    
  Dec 14, 2019 174   Middle Tennessee W 80-66 89%    
  Dec 21, 2019 299   SE Louisiana W 79-61 94%    
  Dec 29, 2019 310   Tennessee Tech W 83-61 97%    
  Jan 04, 2020 58   @ Wichita St. L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 07, 2020 61   @ Texas A&M L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 11, 2020 57   Arkansas W 80-76 62%    
  Jan 14, 2020 7   @ Florida L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 18, 2020 20   LSU L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 21, 2020 30   @ Tennessee L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 62   @ Georgia L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 28, 2020 25   Auburn W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 20   @ LSU L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 05, 2020 78   South Carolina W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 08, 2020 7   Florida L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 11, 2020 48   Mississippi St. W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 2   @ Kentucky L 65-78 14%    
  Feb 18, 2020 53   @ Missouri L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 45   Alabama W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 25, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 73-79 32%    
  Feb 29, 2020 124   Vanderbilt W 77-67 79%    
  Mar 04, 2020 53   Missouri W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 07, 2020 48   @ Mississippi St. L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 2.0 0.3 0.1 6.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 4.6 1.3 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 4.4 2.1 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.3 1.7 0.1 8.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 13th
14th 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.9 6.1 8.2 10.3 11.7 11.5 11.2 9.8 8.3 6.4 4.6 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 53.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 47.5% 52.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 38.0% 62.0% 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 29.9% 70.1% 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.5% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.8 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.6% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 3.7 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.6% 99.3% 10.9% 88.4% 4.9 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 6.4% 98.5% 8.2% 90.2% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.3%
11-7 8.3% 92.9% 5.6% 87.3% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 92.5%
10-8 9.8% 81.8% 2.8% 79.0% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 81.3%
9-9 11.2% 60.1% 2.1% 58.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 59.3%
8-10 11.5% 28.9% 0.4% 28.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.2 28.6%
7-11 11.7% 8.7% 0.4% 8.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.7 8.3%
6-12 10.3% 1.6% 0.2% 1.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 1.4%
5-13 8.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.1%
4-14 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 42.8% 3.1% 39.8% 7.2 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 57.2 41.0%