Preseason Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#57
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.5#45
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#41
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#85
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 7.6% 8.0% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 15.3% 16.1% 4.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.8% 42.4% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.1% 40.7% 17.4%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.4
.500 or above 69.7% 71.8% 39.6%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 44.6% 23.6%
Conference Champion 2.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 8.6% 18.4%
First Four4.2% 4.3% 2.7%
First Round38.6% 40.1% 16.7%
Second Round22.1% 23.1% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen8.6% 9.1% 2.3%
Elite Eight3.3% 3.5% 0.6%
Final Four1.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Home) - 93.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 229   Rice W 89-73 93%    
  Nov 12, 2019 152   North Texas W 77-65 85%    
  Nov 16, 2019 198   Montana W 82-68 91%    
  Nov 19, 2019 265   Texas Southern W 96-78 95%    
  Nov 22, 2019 165   South Dakota W 81-69 86%    
  Nov 25, 2019 75   @ Georgia Tech L 73-74 47%    
  Nov 30, 2019 133   Northern Kentucky W 82-72 82%    
  Dec 03, 2019 211   Austin Peay W 87-72 91%    
  Dec 07, 2019 76   @ Western Kentucky L 76-77 48%    
  Dec 14, 2019 100   Tulsa W 81-73 75%    
  Dec 21, 2019 199   Valparaiso W 79-64 89%    
  Dec 29, 2019 47   @ Indiana L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 04, 2020 61   Texas A&M W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 08, 2020 20   @ LSU L 78-85 28%    
  Jan 11, 2020 51   @ Mississippi L 76-80 38%    
  Jan 15, 2020 124   Vanderbilt W 79-70 78%    
  Jan 18, 2020 2   Kentucky L 70-78 26%    
  Jan 22, 2020 48   @ Mississippi St. L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 25, 2020 68   TCU W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 29, 2020 78   South Carolina W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 01, 2020 45   @ Alabama L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 04, 2020 25   Auburn L 78-79 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 53   @ Missouri L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 11, 2020 30   @ Tennessee L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 15, 2020 48   Mississippi St. W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 18, 2020 7   @ Florida L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 22, 2020 53   Missouri W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 26, 2020 30   Tennessee L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 62   @ Georgia L 76-79 41%    
  Mar 04, 2020 20   LSU L 81-82 47%    
  Mar 07, 2020 61   @ Texas A&M L 75-78 41%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.1 0.6 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 3.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.1 1.4 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 4.2 2.2 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.9 1.6 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.2 14th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.5 6.9 8.4 10.3 11.5 11.2 10.6 9.7 8.0 5.8 4.4 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 79.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 53.5% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 34.8% 65.2% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.5% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.7 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.6% 99.7% 14.2% 85.5% 3.8 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-5 4.4% 99.7% 9.8% 89.9% 4.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 5.8% 98.4% 9.0% 89.4% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.2%
11-7 8.0% 92.4% 4.0% 88.4% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 92.1%
10-8 9.7% 80.5% 2.3% 78.2% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.9 80.1%
9-9 10.6% 59.0% 1.5% 57.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.3 58.4%
8-10 11.2% 28.5% 1.0% 27.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 8.0 27.8%
7-11 11.5% 9.1% 0.4% 8.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.4 8.7%
6-12 10.3% 2.4% 0.3% 2.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 2.1%
5-13 8.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.1%
4-14 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 4.5% 4.5
2-16 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 2.6
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 40.8% 2.7% 38.1% 7.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.6 1.4 0.0 59.2 39.1%