Preseason Rankings
Florida
Southeastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.2#7
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.0#337
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#15
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+9.4#7
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.7% 4.8% 1.3%
#1 Seed 19.3% 19.7% 7.4%
Top 2 Seed 35.5% 36.1% 15.5%
Top 4 Seed 58.3% 59.2% 31.4%
Top 6 Seed 73.0% 73.9% 46.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 90.5% 91.1% 72.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.9% 88.6% 69.8%
Average Seed 4.0 3.9 5.3
.500 or above 95.7% 96.1% 82.2%
.500 or above in Conference 90.5% 91.0% 76.8%
Conference Champion 28.4% 28.8% 14.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.4% 1.9%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 2.7%
First Round90.0% 90.6% 71.4%
Second Round74.4% 75.2% 50.5%
Sweet Sixteen48.1% 48.8% 26.9%
Elite Eight27.9% 28.3% 15.7%
Final Four14.7% 15.0% 7.4%
Championship Game7.7% 7.9% 3.5%
National Champion3.9% 4.0% 1.2%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 6
Quad 27 - 215 - 8
Quad 35 - 019 - 8
Quad 44 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 155   North Florida W 83-63 97%    
  Nov 10, 2019 18   Florida St. W 70-63 74%    
  Nov 14, 2019 181   Towson W 74-52 98%    
  Nov 17, 2019 73   @ Connecticut W 72-65 74%    
  Nov 21, 2019 221   Saint Joseph's W 77-57 97%    
  Nov 29, 2019 188   Marshall W 85-63 98%    
  Dec 07, 2019 56   @ Butler W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 17, 2019 36   Providence W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 21, 2019 34   Utah St. W 71-65 69%    
  Dec 28, 2019 289   Long Beach St. W 84-57 99%    
  Jan 04, 2020 45   Alabama W 72-62 80%    
  Jan 07, 2020 78   @ South Carolina W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 11, 2020 53   @ Missouri W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 14, 2020 51   Mississippi W 73-63 81%    
  Jan 18, 2020 25   Auburn W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 21, 2020 20   @ LSU W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 25, 2020 15   Baylor W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 28, 2020 48   Mississippi St. W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 01, 2020 124   @ Vanderbilt W 71-60 83%    
  Feb 05, 2020 62   Georgia W 74-63 83%    
  Feb 08, 2020 51   @ Mississippi W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 12, 2020 61   @ Texas A&M W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 15, 2020 124   Vanderbilt W 74-57 92%    
  Feb 18, 2020 57   Arkansas W 76-65 82%    
  Feb 22, 2020 2   @ Kentucky L 62-68 32%    
  Feb 26, 2020 20   LSU W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 29, 2020 30   @ Tennessee W 69-67 56%    
  Mar 04, 2020 62   @ Georgia W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 07, 2020 2   Kentucky W 65-64 52%    
Projected Record 22 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 4.2 7.6 8.0 5.5 1.8 28.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 7.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 20.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.1 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.8 1.2 0.2 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.6 8.1 9.6 12.2 13.5 13.2 12.0 9.0 5.6 1.8 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.8    1.8
17-1 99.6% 5.5    5.2 0.3
16-2 88.8% 8.0    6.2 1.8 0.1
15-3 63.2% 7.6    4.4 2.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 31.6% 4.2    1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.6% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.4% 28.4 19.2 7.3 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.8% 100.0% 62.9% 37.1% 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-1 5.6% 100.0% 51.9% 48.1% 1.2 4.4 1.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 9.0% 100.0% 42.2% 57.8% 1.5 5.5 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 12.0% 100.0% 33.5% 66.5% 1.9 4.6 4.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 13.2% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 2.7 2.3 4.2 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 13.5% 99.9% 20.1% 79.8% 3.7 0.7 2.2 3.8 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 12.2% 99.7% 13.7% 86.0% 4.8 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.6 2.5 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 9.6% 97.5% 8.7% 88.8% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.3%
10-8 8.1% 90.6% 5.7% 85.0% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 90.1%
9-9 5.6% 75.1% 4.2% 70.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 74.0%
8-10 3.9% 46.9% 2.7% 44.2% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 45.4%
7-11 2.6% 20.3% 1.0% 19.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1 19.6%
6-12 1.4% 4.3% 0.1% 4.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.3%
5-13 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2%
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 90.5% 21.3% 69.2% 4.0 19.3 16.2 12.9 10.0 8.2 6.5 5.6 4.2 3.3 2.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.5 87.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 1.1 90.9 9.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 97.6 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 88.9 11.1