Preseason Rankings
Marshall
Conference USA
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#188
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace84.0#5
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.4% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 14.3
.500 or above 32.7% 38.4% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 45.2% 29.1%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.7% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.6% 18.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round2.8% 3.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 47 - 312 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 273   Robert Morris W 80-73 76%    
  Nov 10, 2019 112   Toledo L 78-81 41%    
  Nov 15, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 70-86 8%    
  Nov 19, 2019 123   College of Charleston L 77-79 43%    
  Nov 21, 2019 337   Howard W 93-80 88%    
  Nov 29, 2019 7   @ Florida L 63-85 2%    
  Dec 04, 2019 132   Akron L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 08, 2019 112   @ Toledo L 75-84 23%    
  Dec 16, 2019 264   @ Morehead St. W 82-81 53%    
  Dec 19, 2019 274   Eastern Kentucky W 98-91 74%    
  Dec 22, 2019 114   @ Northern Iowa L 70-79 23%    
  Dec 29, 2019 126   Duquesne L 82-87 34%    
  Jan 02, 2020 229   Rice W 89-84 65%    
  Jan 04, 2020 152   North Texas W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 09, 2020 174   @ Middle Tennessee L 78-82 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 140   @ UAB L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 16, 2020 276   Charlotte W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 18, 2020 139   Old Dominion L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 22, 2020 76   Western Kentucky L 78-84 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 76   @ Western Kentucky L 75-87 17%    
  Jan 30, 2020 185   @ Florida International L 94-97 40%    
  Feb 01, 2020 163   @ Florida Atlantic L 76-81 34%    
  Feb 06, 2020 238   Southern Miss W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 08, 2020 116   Louisiana Tech L 76-79 42%    
  Feb 13, 2020 121   @ Texas San Antonio L 84-92 25%    
  Feb 15, 2020 169   @ UTEP L 76-81 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.4 0.2 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.4 1.4 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.3 4.2 3.1 0.2 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.0 0.7 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.5 2.3 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.2 3.7 4.8 0.3 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 5.7 1.8 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.3 0.2 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.2 0.7 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.3 2.5 3.6 1.1 0.1 7.7 13th
14th 0.6 2.1 2.5 1.0 0.1 6.2 14th
Total 0.6 2.4 5.7 8.9 12.1 14.2 14.8 13.2 11.0 7.8 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.1 0.0
12-2 82.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1
11-3 39.4% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-4 11.0% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 75.6% 51.6% 24.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.6%
13-1 0.4% 38.9% 31.0% 8.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.6%
12-2 1.1% 29.8% 26.9% 2.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 4.0%
11-3 2.8% 16.9% 15.9% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 1.1%
10-4 4.9% 10.8% 10.6% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 0.2%
9-5 7.8% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.3 0.0%
8-6 11.0% 3.1% 3.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.6
7-7 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1
6-8 14.8% 1.1% 1.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.7
5-9 14.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1
4-10 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
3-11 8.9% 8.9
2-12 5.7% 5.7
1-13 2.4% 2.4
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.9% 2.8% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 97.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%