Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#276
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#325
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#308
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 16.6% 29.8% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 17.5% 25.3% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 32.5% 22.6% 36.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 46 - 49 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 232   @ James Madison L 62-67 30%    
  Nov 12, 2019 52   Davidson L 58-71 11%    
  Nov 17, 2019 91   Wake Forest L 63-72 22%    
  Nov 21, 2019 212   @ Appalachian St. L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 27, 2019 162   @ Georgia St. L 64-73 20%    
  Nov 30, 2019 340   South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 79%    
  Dec 03, 2019 301   UNC Asheville W 65-60 66%    
  Dec 07, 2019 268   @ UNC Wilmington L 70-74 38%    
  Dec 16, 2019 199   Valparaiso L 62-63 46%    
  Dec 19, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 52-39 86%    
  Dec 22, 2019 203   @ East Carolina L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 02, 2020 140   UAB L 62-67 36%    
  Jan 04, 2020 174   Middle Tennessee L 64-67 42%    
  Jan 11, 2020 139   Old Dominion L 57-62 35%    
  Jan 16, 2020 188   @ Marshall L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 18, 2020 76   @ Western Kentucky L 59-75 9%    
  Jan 20, 2020 139   @ Old Dominion L 54-65 19%    
  Jan 23, 2020 163   Florida Atlantic L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 185   Florida International L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 30, 2020 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-71 14%    
  Feb 01, 2020 238   @ Southern Miss L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 06, 2020 169   UTEP L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 121   Texas San Antonio L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 13, 2020 152   @ North Texas L 57-67 20%    
  Feb 15, 2020 229   @ Rice L 68-74 32%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 1.3 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.3 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.8 1.3 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.2 3.1 3.4 0.2 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 5.7 1.2 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 5.8 3.3 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 5.7 5.4 0.7 0.0 12.9 12th
13th 1.4 5.6 7.5 1.8 0.1 16.5 13th
14th 3.7 7.8 6.6 2.3 0.2 20.5 14th
Total 3.7 9.2 13.3 16.8 15.5 13.6 10.4 7.5 4.8 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 98.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 77.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-3 41.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 11.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.0% 2.4% 2.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 7.0% 6.7% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3%
11-3 0.6% 13.6% 13.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-4 1.5% 6.5% 6.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
9-5 2.9% 4.7% 4.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
8-6 4.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
7-7 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
6-8 10.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
5-9 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
4-10 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
3-11 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.8
2-12 13.3% 13.3
1-13 9.2% 9.2
0-14 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%