Preseason Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#309
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#151
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.9% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.5
.500 or above 66.4% 74.4% 47.4%
.500 or above in Conference 65.8% 70.6% 54.3%
Conference Champion 9.9% 11.5% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.6% 7.4%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round7.6% 8.7% 4.8%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Away) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 45 - 9
Quad 49 - 214 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 297   @ Troy W 71-65 70%    
  Nov 11, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 75-53 98%    
  Nov 15, 2019 236   Utah Valley W 73-65 78%    
  Nov 20, 2019 287   Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 84%    
  Nov 26, 2019 281   Lamar W 75-64 83%    
  Nov 29, 2019 2   @ Kentucky L 56-78 3%    
  Dec 03, 2019 24   @ Texas L 58-73 10%    
  Dec 07, 2019 26   Memphis L 73-81 24%    
  Dec 17, 2019 313   North Alabama W 75-62 88%    
  Dec 22, 2019 126   Duquesne L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 02, 2020 276   @ Charlotte W 67-62 64%    
  Jan 04, 2020 139   @ Old Dominion L 60-63 39%    
  Jan 09, 2020 76   Western Kentucky L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 188   Marshall W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 16, 2020 185   @ Florida International W 81-80 50%    
  Jan 18, 2020 163   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 23, 2020 238   Southern Miss W 70-62 76%    
  Jan 25, 2020 116   Louisiana Tech W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 30, 2020 121   @ Texas San Antonio L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 169   @ UTEP L 66-67 44%    
  Feb 06, 2020 229   Rice W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 152   North Texas W 66-62 61%    
  Feb 12, 2020 174   Middle Tennessee W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 15, 2020 174   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.2 2.0 0.6 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.6 1.1 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.1 4.6 0.9 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.5 2.3 0.1 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.3 4.2 4.0 0.3 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 4.9 1.0 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.4 2.2 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 3.9 0.3 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.3 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 2.2 0.1 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 4.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.2 13th
14th 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.1 14th
Total 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.7 6.7 9.3 11.8 13.1 13.9 13.0 11.3 7.6 4.3 2.0 0.6 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 97.6% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
12-2 73.5% 3.2    1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-3 39.7% 3.0    0.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-4 8.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.0 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 57.8% 42.4% 15.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 26.7%
13-1 2.0% 38.0% 30.6% 7.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 10.6%
12-2 4.3% 28.8% 26.4% 2.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 3.2%
11-3 7.6% 19.4% 18.8% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 0.7%
10-4 11.3% 14.3% 14.3% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 0.1%
9-5 13.0% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.9 0.0%
8-6 13.9% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 13.2 0.0%
7-7 13.1% 2.3% 2.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8
6-8 11.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
5-9 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
4-10 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
3-11 3.7% 3.7
2-12 2.0% 2.0
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.7% 7.3% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 92.3 0.4%