Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#337
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.6#42
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 13.6% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 17.4% 41.1% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 75.1% 54.5%
Conference Champion 9.4% 18.8% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.7% 2.9% 10.5%
First Four7.5% 11.7% 7.0%
First Round3.5% 6.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 1111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 190   @ George Washington L 69-82 11%    
  Nov 12, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 61-87 1%    
  Nov 15, 2019 273   Robert Morris L 70-76 30%    
  Nov 17, 2019 112   @ Toledo L 67-86 5%    
  Nov 21, 2019 188   @ Marshall L 80-93 12%    
  Nov 23, 2019 120   @ Ball St. L 70-88 5%    
  Nov 26, 2019 184   @ American L 69-82 12%    
  Nov 30, 2019 287   Mount St. Mary's L 75-77 42%    
  Dec 05, 2019 245   @ Hampton L 77-88 18%    
  Dec 14, 2019 212   Appalachian St. L 80-86 30%    
  Dec 22, 2019 69   Harvard L 68-85 7%    
  Dec 30, 2019 98   Penn L 69-83 13%    
  Jan 04, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 54-53 53%    
  Jan 06, 2020 326   Bethune-Cookman W 81-80 54%    
  Jan 11, 2020 318   Norfolk St. W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 13, 2020 323   South Carolina St. W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 18, 2020 329   @ Morgan St. L 80-85 35%    
  Jan 20, 2020 144   Yale L 77-87 20%    
  Jan 25, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 27, 2020 348   @ Coppin St. L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 329   Morgan St. W 83-82 55%    
  Feb 03, 2020 348   Coppin St. W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 08, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 10, 2020 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 325   @ N.C. A&T L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 24, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 318   @ Norfolk St. L 74-79 33%    
  Mar 02, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 57-50 72%    
  Mar 05, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 63-57 69%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.2 9.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 4.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.8 1.5 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.5 4.5 1.8 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.8 2.0 0.2 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.0 0.3 7.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.7 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.7 6.0 8.7 10.2 11.6 12.4 12.1 10.4 8.6 6.2 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 98.2% 0.8    0.7 0.0
14-2 94.0% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
13-3 72.9% 2.9    1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0
12-4 38.8% 2.4    0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0
11-5 12.9% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 46.8% 46.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 0.8% 37.8% 37.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5
14-2 2.1% 35.2% 35.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4
13-3 3.9% 29.4% 29.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.8
12-4 6.2% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.8
11-5 8.6% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4 7.2
10-6 10.4% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 1.3 9.1
9-7 12.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.9 11.3
8-8 12.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.0
7-9 11.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.4
6-10 10.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.1
5-11 8.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.6
4-12 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-13 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-14 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.8 92.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%