Preseason Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#198
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#217
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#218
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#196
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.6% 22.6% 13.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 63.9% 83.3% 59.1%
.500 or above in Conference 78.8% 88.0% 76.5%
Conference Champion 19.9% 29.7% 17.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 2.2%
First Four2.9% 2.0% 3.1%
First Round14.2% 21.7% 12.4%
Second Round0.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 19.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 113   @ Stanford L 67-76 20%    
  Nov 16, 2019 57   @ Arkansas L 68-82 9%    
  Nov 22, 2019 44   @ Washington L 60-76 8%    
  Nov 25, 2019 265   Texas Southern W 83-77 71%    
  Nov 29, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 80-65 90%    
  Dec 01, 2019 92   @ New Mexico L 74-84 18%    
  Dec 06, 2019 262   North Dakota W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 18, 2019 16   @ Oregon L 57-76 5%    
  Dec 21, 2019 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 28, 2019 278   Northern Arizona W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 30, 2019 280   Sacramento St. W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 02, 2020 226   @ Southern Utah L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 04, 2020 214   @ Northern Colorado L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 09, 2020 192   @ Eastern Washington L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 13, 2020 270   Portland St. W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 18, 2020 338   Idaho W 75-62 86%    
  Jan 23, 2020 335   @ Idaho St. W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 191   @ Weber St. L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 30, 2020 270   @ Portland St. W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 279   Montana St. W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 06, 2020 192   Eastern Washington W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 08, 2020 338   @ Idaho W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 13, 2020 191   Weber St. W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 335   Idaho St. W 78-66 84%    
  Feb 22, 2020 279   @ Montana St. W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 27, 2020 278   @ Northern Arizona W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 280   @ Sacramento St. W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 05, 2020 214   Northern Colorado W 70-66 63%    
  Mar 07, 2020 226   Southern Utah W 76-72 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.3 4.7 4.8 3.4 1.6 0.5 19.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.8 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.2 3.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 3.3 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 2.3 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.8 8.2 9.8 11.0 10.9 10.5 9.7 7.4 5.6 3.5 1.6 0.5 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 1.6    1.6 0.0
18-2 96.9% 3.4    3.1 0.2
17-3 86.3% 4.8    3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
16-4 63.4% 4.7    3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 34.2% 3.3    1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 11.3% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.9% 19.9 14.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 59.2% 56.2% 2.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6.7%
19-1 1.6% 56.9% 56.8% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.2%
18-2 3.5% 46.1% 46.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9
17-3 5.6% 37.5% 37.3% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 3.5 0.2%
16-4 7.4% 32.6% 32.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 5.0
15-5 9.7% 25.0% 25.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 7.3
14-6 10.5% 18.5% 18.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 8.6
13-7 10.9% 13.6% 13.6% 15.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.4
12-8 11.0% 8.9% 8.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.0
11-9 9.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.1 0.6 9.2
10-10 8.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 7.8
9-11 6.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.6
8-12 5.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.2
7-13 3.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
6-14 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-15 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.6% 15.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.2 4.7 5.4 84.4 0.0%