IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.5	#338
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.1	#303
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.2	#328

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.3	#338

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.8%	1.7%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	6.8%	15.6%	4.1%
.500 or above in Conference	12.7%	20.5%	10.3%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.3%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	39.3%	27.7%	42.9%

First Four	0.5%	1.1%	0.3%
First Round	0.5%	1.2%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Away) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 13	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	296	@ UC Riverside	L	60-68	24%
Nov 14, 2019	266	UC Davis	L	62-69	27%
Nov 15, 2019	300	VMI	L	72-76	34%
Nov 17, 2019	271	@ Arkansas St.	L	66-75	21%
Nov 26, 2019	153	North Dakota St.	L	63-73	18%
Nov 30, 2019	168	@ Seattle	L	60-75	9%
Dec 05, 2019	157	Washington St.	L	69-79	20%
Dec 14, 2019	197	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	62-69	26%
Dec 21, 2019	224	@ South Dakota St.	L	68-80	16%
Dec 28, 2019	335	@ Idaho St.	L	68-72	37%
Dec 30, 2019	191	@ Weber St.	L	67-80	13%
Jan 02, 2020	270	Portland St.	L	71-74	40%
Jan 09, 2020	279	Montana St.	L	73-76	41%
Jan 16, 2020	192	Eastern Washington	L	66-73	27%
Jan 18, 2020	198	@ Montana	L	62-75	14%
Jan 25, 2020	214	Northern Colorado	L	64-70	29%
Jan 27, 2020	226	Southern Utah	L	69-75	31%
Feb 01, 2020	278	@ Northern Arizona	L	67-76	23%
Feb 03, 2020	280	@ Sacramento St.	L	63-72	24%
Feb 06, 2020	279	@ Montana St.	L	70-79	24%
Feb 08, 2020	198	Montana	L	65-72	28%
Feb 13, 2020	192	@ Eastern Washington	L	63-76	13%
Feb 17, 2020	270	@ Portland St.	L	68-77	23%
Feb 20, 2020	278	Northern Arizona	L	70-73	41%
Feb 22, 2020	280	Sacramento St.	L	66-69	41%
Feb 27, 2020	214	@ Northern Colorado	L	61-73	15%
Feb 29, 2020	226	@ Southern Utah	L	66-78	17%
Mar 05, 2020	191	Weber St.	L	70-77	27%
Mar 07, 2020	335	Idaho St.	W	71-69	57%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0					1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0						1.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0								2.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	1.5	0.3	0.0									4.2	5th
6th								0.1	0.9	2.1	1.8	0.4	0.0										5.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.4	3.2	2.4	0.6	0.0	0.0										7.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.1	4.0	3.2	0.9	0.0												10.6	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.3	3.6	5.3	3.5	1.0	0.1													14.9	9th
10th		0.1	1.2	3.8	6.0	6.0	3.3	0.8	0.1														21.2	10th
11th	2.2	5.2	7.9	7.4	4.9	1.9	0.4	0.0															29.8	11th

Total	2.2	5.3	9.1	11.3	12.1	12.0	11.2	9.8	8.3	6.0	4.7	3.4	1.9	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	99.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	71.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	43.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	16.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
13-7	5.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.0%		17.9%	17.9%		14.0															0.0			0.0
17-3	0.1%		11.0%	11.0%		15.8														0.0			0.0	0.1
16-4	0.2%		24.6%	24.6%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-5	0.3%		13.4%	13.4%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-6	0.8%		11.8%	11.8%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-7	1.2%		5.4%	5.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	1.2
12-8	1.9%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.8
11-9	3.4%		3.5%	3.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.3
10-10	4.7%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	4.6
9-11	6.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.0
8-12	8.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
7-13	9.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
6-14	11.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
5-15	12.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
4-16	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
3-17	11.3%																							11.3
2-18	9.1%																							9.1
1-19	5.3%																							5.3
0-20	2.2%																							2.2

Total	100%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%