Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#70
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#155
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#77
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 3.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 8.4% 8.7% 2.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% 23.7% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.3% 22.9% 5.8%
Average Seed 7.4 7.4 7.8
.500 or above 39.5% 40.5% 12.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.7% 26.3% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.7% 16.1% 32.6%
First Four2.1% 2.1% 0.3%
First Round22.0% 22.6% 5.8%
Second Round12.1% 12.5% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.3% 4.5% 1.0%
Elite Eight1.6% 1.7% 0.7%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 24 - 47 - 16
Quad 34 - 111 - 17
Quad 43 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 311   Cleveland St. W 83-64 96%    
  Nov 09, 2019 38   Oklahoma L 71-75 37%    
  Nov 12, 2019 56   @ Butler L 68-73 34%    
  Nov 15, 2019 110   @ Utah W 73-72 53%    
  Nov 21, 2019 154   Central Michigan W 83-73 82%    
  Nov 24, 2019 262   North Dakota W 82-66 92%    
  Nov 29, 2019 97   DePaul W 78-72 70%    
  Dec 02, 2019 81   Clemson W 69-65 64%    
  Dec 09, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 75-82 29%    
  Dec 15, 2019 14   Ohio St. L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 21, 2019 49   Oklahoma St. L 70-72 41%    
  Dec 28, 2019 185   Florida International W 90-78 86%    
  Jan 02, 2020 12   @ Purdue L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 05, 2020 99   Northwestern W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 09, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 65-82 7%    
  Jan 12, 2020 21   Michigan L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 15, 2020 43   Penn St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 19, 2020 66   @ Rutgers L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 23, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. L 64-74 20%    
  Jan 26, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 30, 2020 42   @ Illinois L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 05, 2020 33   Wisconsin L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 43   @ Penn St. L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 16, 2020 39   Iowa L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 19, 2020 47   Indiana W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 23, 2020 99   @ Northwestern W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 26, 2020 9   Maryland L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 01, 2020 33   @ Wisconsin L 62-69 27%    
  Mar 04, 2020 47   @ Indiana L 67-73 32%    
  Mar 08, 2020 88   Nebraska W 73-68 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 3.6 0.9 0.0 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.8 3.4 1.0 0.1 12.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.2 3.2 0.8 0.1 12.3 13th
14th 0.5 1.7 3.1 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 10.5 14th
Total 0.5 1.8 4.0 6.4 8.5 10.6 10.9 11.3 10.9 9.3 7.9 6.3 4.7 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 72.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 33.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 14.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 5.7% 94.3% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 25.6% 74.4% 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 2.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.1% 99.4% 13.4% 86.0% 3.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 1.8% 98.8% 8.0% 90.8% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
13-7 2.9% 98.0% 4.1% 93.9% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.0%
12-8 4.7% 92.8% 3.1% 89.7% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 92.6%
11-9 6.3% 75.5% 1.7% 73.8% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 75.1%
10-10 7.9% 54.6% 1.3% 53.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.6 54.0%
9-11 9.3% 21.7% 0.3% 21.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.3 21.5%
8-12 10.9% 7.2% 0.4% 6.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.1 6.8%
7-13 11.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.9%
6-14 10.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.0%
5-15 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 10.6
4-16 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 8.5
3-17 6.4% 6.4
2-18 4.0% 4.0
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 23.1% 1.0% 22.0% 7.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.2 3.0 2.8 3.2 2.7 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.9 22.3%