Preseason Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#110
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#254
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#176
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 2.1% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 16.7% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.9% 14.1% 4.4%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.7
.500 or above 39.6% 56.7% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 41.9% 26.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.8% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 9.4% 17.2%
First Four2.7% 4.9% 1.5%
First Round8.1% 14.0% 4.8%
Second Round3.4% 5.9% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 54 - 12
Quad 35 - 39 - 15
Quad 45 - 113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 95   @ Nevada L 73-77 36%    
  Nov 08, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 85-60 99%    
  Nov 15, 2019 70   Minnesota L 72-73 47%    
  Nov 21, 2019 172   @ Coastal Carolina W 76-75 55%    
  Nov 29, 2019 266   UC Davis W 75-62 87%    
  Dec 04, 2019 67   BYU L 78-79 45%    
  Dec 07, 2019 284   Central Arkansas W 84-70 89%    
  Dec 14, 2019 191   Weber St. W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 18, 2019 2   Kentucky L 62-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2019 77   San Diego St. L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 02, 2020 74   Oregon St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 04, 2020 16   Oregon L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 12, 2020 40   @ Colorado L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 16, 2020 31   @ Arizona L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 18, 2020 65   @ Arizona St. L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 23, 2020 44   Washington L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 25, 2020 157   Washington St. W 80-73 70%    
  Jan 30, 2020 64   @ USC L 72-80 26%    
  Feb 02, 2020 82   @ UCLA L 76-82 32%    
  Feb 06, 2020 113   Stanford W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 08, 2020 166   California W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 13, 2020 74   @ Oregon St. L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 16, 2020 16   @ Oregon L 61-74 14%    
  Feb 20, 2020 82   UCLA W 80-79 51%    
  Feb 23, 2020 64   USC L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 26, 2020 113   @ Stanford L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 29, 2020 166   @ California W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 07, 2020 40   Colorado L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 12.2 11th
12th 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 8.7 12th
Total 0.5 1.9 3.9 6.4 9.0 10.9 12.0 12.2 11.3 9.6 8.0 6.0 3.8 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 64.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 38.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 58.7% 41.3% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 26.4% 73.6% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 99.6% 40.2% 59.4% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
15-3 0.7% 98.1% 17.8% 80.3% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
14-4 1.2% 89.3% 12.7% 76.7% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 87.8%
13-5 2.5% 76.1% 12.3% 63.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 72.7%
12-6 3.8% 51.3% 8.0% 43.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 47.0%
11-7 6.0% 28.6% 6.2% 22.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 4.3 23.9%
10-8 8.0% 14.3% 2.7% 11.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 6.8 11.9%
9-9 9.6% 6.0% 1.6% 4.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 4.6%
8-10 11.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.7%
7-11 12.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
6-12 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9
5-13 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.0
3-15 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 6.4
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 9.7% 2.0% 7.7% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.3 7.9%