Preseason Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#39
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.8#67
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#8
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 4.2% 4.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 13.0% 13.1% 2.5%
Top 6 Seed 24.8% 25.0% 8.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.8% 50.1% 21.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.1% 48.3% 20.8%
Average Seed 6.5 6.5 7.9
.500 or above 67.9% 68.2% 34.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.1% 53.3% 25.7%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 5.5% 10.3%
First Four2.9% 2.9% 3.8%
First Round48.4% 48.6% 19.1%
Second Round30.7% 30.8% 11.1%
Sweet Sixteen13.8% 13.9% 3.6%
Elite Eight6.0% 6.1% 2.5%
Final Four2.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 99.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 10
Quad 25 - 310 - 13
Quad 34 - 113 - 14
Quad 44 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 324   SIU Edwardsville W 93-69 99%    
  Nov 11, 2019 97   DePaul W 87-77 82%    
  Nov 15, 2019 205   Oral Roberts W 89-72 94%    
  Nov 21, 2019 155   North Florida W 93-79 89%    
  Nov 24, 2019 327   Cal Poly W 89-64 98%    
  Nov 28, 2019 13   Texas Tech L 72-77 34%    
  Dec 03, 2019 59   @ Syracuse L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 06, 2019 21   @ Michigan L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 09, 2019 70   Minnesota W 82-75 71%    
  Dec 12, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 79-82 40%    
  Dec 21, 2019 29   Cincinnati L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 29, 2019 320   Kennesaw St. W 91-67 98%    
  Jan 04, 2020 43   Penn St. W 78-77 51%    
  Jan 07, 2020 88   @ Nebraska W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 10, 2020 9   Maryland L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 14, 2020 99   @ Northwestern W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 17, 2020 21   Michigan W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 22, 2020 66   Rutgers W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 27, 2020 33   Wisconsin W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 30, 2020 9   @ Maryland L 72-81 24%    
  Feb 02, 2020 42   Illinois W 85-82 60%    
  Feb 05, 2020 12   @ Purdue L 74-82 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 88   Nebraska W 81-73 75%    
  Feb 13, 2020 47   @ Indiana L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 16, 2020 70   @ Minnesota W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 20, 2020 14   Ohio St. L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 25, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 73-87 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 43   Penn St. W 79-76 61%    
  Mar 03, 2020 12   Purdue L 77-79 43%    
  Mar 08, 2020 42   @ Illinois L 82-85 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.3 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 4.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.2 5.1 6.7 7.9 10.0 10.5 10.2 10.2 9.2 7.6 6.1 4.5 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 96.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 80.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 58.0% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 32.8% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 88.2% 11.8% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 29.3% 70.7% 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.5% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 2.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.9% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 2.8 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.5% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.9 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 6.1% 99.7% 8.1% 91.6% 4.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 7.6% 98.3% 5.6% 92.7% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.2%
12-8 9.2% 93.0% 4.0% 88.9% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 92.7%
11-9 10.2% 79.1% 1.4% 77.7% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 78.8%
10-10 10.2% 57.5% 1.3% 56.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.3 56.9%
9-11 10.5% 28.7% 0.3% 28.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 7.5 28.5%
8-12 10.0% 7.3% 0.6% 6.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.2 6.8%
7-13 7.9% 1.8% 0.2% 1.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 1.6%
6-14 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.4%
5-15 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 3.2
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 49.8% 3.3% 46.5% 6.5 1.4 2.8 4.3 4.4 5.5 6.3 5.9 5.9 4.7 4.0 3.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 50.2 48.1%