Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#270
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#178
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 16.1% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 15.1
.500 or above 74.3% 81.8% 57.9%
.500 or above in Conference 84.4% 87.9% 76.8%
Conference Champion 15.9% 18.4% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 2.3%
First Four2.0% 1.7% 2.6%
First Round13.0% 15.4% 7.9%
Second Round1.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 415 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 227   Lehigh W 79-74 68%    
  Nov 13, 2019 295   Canisius W 75-66 80%    
  Nov 16, 2019 259   @ Manhattan W 62-61 53%    
  Nov 22, 2019 256   @ Quinnipiac W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 23, 2019 249   Sacred Heart W 78-75 62%    
  Nov 24, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 76-67 77%    
  Nov 30, 2019 184   American W 71-68 62%    
  Dec 04, 2019 144   Yale W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 07, 2019 159   @ Bucknell L 71-76 35%    
  Dec 10, 2019 101   @ Boston College L 65-74 24%    
  Dec 14, 2019 315   Niagara W 81-70 83%    
  Dec 18, 2019 93   @ St. John's L 69-78 22%    
  Dec 21, 2019 239   @ Monmouth W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 30, 2019 173   @ Columbia L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 04, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 333   Maine W 72-59 87%    
  Jan 15, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire W 68-61 72%    
  Jan 18, 2020 196   @ Stony Brook L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 22, 2020 263   Umass Lowell W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 25, 2020 321   Hartford W 76-64 83%    
  Jan 29, 2020 206   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-66 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 84   Vermont L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 05, 2020 339   Binghamton W 75-61 88%    
  Feb 12, 2020 321   @ Hartford W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 16, 2020 333   @ Maine W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 20, 2020 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 22, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 71-58 86%    
  Feb 26, 2020 263   @ Umass Lowell W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 196   Stony Brook W 72-68 63%    
  Mar 03, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 62-73 19%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 4.4 5.5 3.0 0.8 15.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.5 9.3 6.0 1.9 26.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 7.4 6.9 2.2 0.2 20.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 6.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.6 9.3 12.0 13.6 14.5 13.3 10.5 7.3 3.0 0.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 100.0% 3.0    2.6 0.4
14-2 74.7% 5.5    3.5 1.9 0.0
13-3 41.4% 4.4    2.0 2.0 0.3
12-4 13.2% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
11-5 3.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 9.5 5.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 57.5% 54.6% 2.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.4%
15-1 3.0% 47.2% 45.9% 1.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 2.3%
14-2 7.3% 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 4.8 0.0%
13-3 10.5% 26.2% 26.2% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 7.8
12-4 13.3% 19.2% 19.2% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.8 10.7
11-5 14.5% 12.4% 12.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 12.7
10-6 13.6% 7.7% 7.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.6
9-7 12.0% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.4
8-8 9.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 8.9
7-9 6.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.5
6-10 4.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.1
5-11 2.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-12 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 3.0 3.7 3.9 86.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 7.3 5.6 44.4 2.8 2.8 38.9 5.6