Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#319
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#184
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 5.0% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 11.8% 37.7% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 22.9% 42.7% 22.3%
Conference Champion 1.3% 5.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 21.8% 9.8% 22.2%
First Four0.7% 1.1% 0.7%
First Round1.1% 4.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 1110 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 81   @ Clemson L 58-78 3%    
  Nov 11, 2019 300   @ VMI L 76-81 33%    
  Nov 14, 2019 264   Morehead St. L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 18, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 58-82 2%    
  Nov 22, 2019 249   Sacred Heart L 76-81 32%    
  Nov 23, 2019 256   @ Quinnipiac L 70-78 25%    
  Nov 24, 2019 178   Albany L 67-76 23%    
  Dec 07, 2019 323   @ South Carolina St. L 73-76 41%    
  Dec 10, 2019 293   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 18, 2019 298   Jacksonville W 77-76 53%    
  Dec 21, 2019 21   @ Michigan L 55-81 1%    
  Jan 02, 2020 301   UNC Asheville W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 04, 2020 176   @ Gardner-Webb L 67-79 16%    
  Jan 11, 2020 308   High Point W 68-66 55%    
  Jan 16, 2020 260   @ Longwood L 69-77 26%    
  Jan 18, 2020 134   Radford L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 20, 2020 302   Campbell W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 23, 2020 194   @ Charleston Southern L 68-79 18%    
  Jan 25, 2020 218   @ Winthrop L 74-84 20%    
  Jan 30, 2020 340   South Carolina Upstate W 77-71 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 245   @ Hampton L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 06, 2020 176   Gardner-Webb L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 08, 2020 302   @ Campbell L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 134   @ Radford L 62-77 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 218   Winthrop L 77-81 38%    
  Feb 20, 2020 308   @ High Point L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 301   @ UNC Asheville L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 27, 2020 260   Longwood L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 194   Charleston Southern L 71-76 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 4.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 4.2 1.3 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 6.0 4.4 1.0 0.1 15.5 9th
10th 0.3 1.6 4.6 6.1 3.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 17.2 10th
11th 1.0 2.8 4.0 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 14.2 11th
Total 1.0 3.1 5.6 9.3 11.5 12.5 12.8 11.2 9.9 7.8 6.0 3.7 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 62.4% 62.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 29.9% 29.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 23.0% 23.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 21.0% 21.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.5% 13.1% 13.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
12-6 2.6% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.4
11-7 3.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.4
10-8 6.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
9-9 7.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.7
8-10 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
7-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
6-12 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
5-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
3-15 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
2-16 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%