IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#256
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#230
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#198

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.9	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.2%	12.0%	7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.8	15.4

.500 or above	54.5%	74.2%	48.4%
.500 or above in Conference	59.7%	72.2%	55.8%
Conference Champion	9.5%	15.3%	7.7%
Last Place in Conference	7.3%	3.1%	8.6%

First Four	2.5%	2.1%	2.6%
First Round	7.0%	10.9%	5.8%
Second Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 8	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 13, 2019	171	@ Brown	L	71-79	24%
Nov 16, 2019	63	@ Miami (FL)	L	64-81	6%
Nov 22, 2019	178	Albany	L	71-72	47%
Nov 23, 2019	319	Presbyterian	W	78-70	75%
Nov 24, 2019	249	Sacred Heart	W	80-77	59%
Dec 03, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-75	38%
Dec 07, 2019	334	New Hampshire	W	71-62	80%
Dec 15, 2019	333	@ Maine	W	69-66	60%
Dec 20, 2019	254	Drexel	L	76-77	50%
Jan 03, 2020	328	@ Marist	W	69-67	58%
Jan 07, 2020	180	Rider	L	80-81	48%
Jan 10, 2020	315	Niagara	W	81-74	72%
Jan 12, 2020	239	Monmouth	W	72-70	57%
Jan 16, 2020	259	@ Manhattan	L	62-65	40%
Jan 18, 2020	307	St. Peter's	W	68-62	69%
Jan 24, 2020	288	Fairfield	W	74-69	66%
Jan 26, 2020	251	@ Siena	L	63-66	40%
Jan 31, 2020	295	@ Canisius	L	73-74	48%
Feb 02, 2020	315	@ Niagara	W	78-77	53%
Feb 07, 2020	161	Iona	L	78-80	42%
Feb 09, 2020	259	Manhattan	W	65-62	59%
Feb 14, 2020	307	@ St. Peter's	W	66-65	50%
Feb 16, 2020	180	@ Rider	L	77-84	30%
Feb 21, 2020	295	Canisius	W	76-71	67%
Feb 23, 2020	239	@ Monmouth	L	69-73	37%
Feb 26, 2020	251	Siena	W	66-63	59%
Feb 28, 2020	288	@ Fairfield	L	71-72	47%
Mar 01, 2020	328	Marist	W	72-64	74%
Mar 04, 2020	161	@ Iona	L	75-83	25%
Projected Record						15 - 14	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.6	2.0	1.1	0.5	0.2		9.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.7	2.0	3.5	3.0	1.3	0.4	0.1				11.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.9	3.2	3.9	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0					11.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.0	3.6	4.2	2.1	0.4	0.0							11.4	4th
5th									0.1	1.2	3.8	4.1	1.4	0.3	0.0								11.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.1	3.6	4.0	1.4	0.1	0.0									10.3	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	3.1	3.7	1.2	0.1	0.0										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0	3.1	1.0	0.1												8.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0												7.4	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.9	1.8	0.5	0.0	0.0													5.9	10th
11th	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.3	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0															4.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.8	2.5	4.0	5.9	7.2	8.3	9.6	10.2	10.1	9.7	8.5	7.3	5.7	4.0	2.3	1.2	0.5	0.2			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
18-2	94.7%	1.1		1.0	0.1	0.0
17-3	84.0%	2.0		1.5	0.4	0.0
16-4	65.0%	2.6		1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0
15-5	34.8%	2.0		0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0
14-6	12.8%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	9.5%	9.5		6.1	2.6	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		67.3%	67.3%		11.9					0.0		0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.1
19-1	0.5%		53.5%	53.5%		13.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2
18-2	1.2%		42.3%	42.3%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.7
17-3	2.3%		33.7%	33.7%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0	1.6
16-4	4.0%		25.9%	25.9%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	2.9
15-5	5.7%		19.4%	19.4%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	4.6
14-6	7.3%		17.5%	17.5%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	6.0
13-7	8.5%		10.9%	10.9%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.7	7.6
12-8	9.7%		8.9%	8.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	8.9
11-9	10.1%		5.3%	5.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.5	9.6
10-10	10.2%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.8
9-11	9.6%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	9.4
8-12	8.3%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	8.2
7-13	7.2%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	7.1
6-14	5.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
5-15	4.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
4-16	2.5%																							2.5
3-17	1.8%																							1.8
2-18	0.8%																							0.8
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.2%	8.2%	0.0%	15.2					0.0		0.0			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.2	4.2	91.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	8.7				30.2		2.3			34.9				32.6
Lose Out	0.0%