Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#251
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace56.0#352
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#208
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 11.4% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 43.8% 56.8% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 68.8% 53.3%
Conference Champion 9.8% 12.6% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 4.0% 8.3%
First Four2.3% 2.2% 2.4%
First Round7.6% 10.3% 5.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 184   American L 62-63 49%    
  Nov 08, 2019 23   @ Xavier L 52-73 3%    
  Nov 12, 2019 115   St. Bonaventure L 55-61 30%    
  Nov 14, 2019 69   @ Harvard L 55-71 8%    
  Nov 20, 2019 144   @ Yale L 63-72 20%    
  Nov 30, 2019 127   @ Colgate L 59-70 17%    
  Dec 07, 2019 327   @ Cal Poly W 64-62 58%    
  Dec 21, 2019 159   Bucknell L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 23, 2019 295   Canisius W 67-61 69%    
  Dec 29, 2019 312   Holy Cross W 62-55 72%    
  Jan 03, 2020 239   Monmouth W 63-61 57%    
  Jan 05, 2020 180   @ Rider L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 09, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 60-54 70%    
  Jan 12, 2020 259   @ Manhattan L 54-57 41%    
  Jan 17, 2020 295   @ Canisius L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 19, 2020 315   @ Niagara W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 24, 2020 328   Marist W 64-56 76%    
  Jan 26, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 31, 2020 161   @ Iona L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 02, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's W 57-56 51%    
  Feb 07, 2020 288   Fairfield W 65-60 66%    
  Feb 14, 2020 180   Rider L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 16, 2020 259   Manhattan W 57-54 60%    
  Feb 19, 2020 161   Iona L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 23, 2020 288   @ Fairfield L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 26, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 28, 2020 328   @ Marist W 61-59 58%    
  Mar 04, 2020 315   Niagara W 71-64 71%    
  Mar 06, 2020 239   @ Monmouth L 60-64 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.4 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.0 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.2 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.2 1.1 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.3 0.8 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.8 5.4 6.9 8.4 9.8 10.4 10.4 9.9 8.6 7.2 5.6 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
18-2 96.9% 1.3    1.1 0.2
17-3 81.7% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
16-4 63.0% 2.6    1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.6% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 13.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 6.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 75.7% 75.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 46.2% 46.1% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2%
18-2 1.3% 43.3% 43.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.1%
17-3 2.5% 32.3% 32.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.1% 29.3% 29.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.9
15-5 5.6% 22.3% 22.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 4.4
14-6 7.2% 16.2% 16.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 6.1
13-7 8.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.6
12-8 9.9% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.1
11-9 10.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 9.7
10-10 10.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.0
9-11 9.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
8-12 8.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.3
7-13 6.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
6-14 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-16 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.0 91.2 0.0%