Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#173
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.1#166
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.8% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.1
.500 or above 48.3% 60.6% 32.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.3% 55.0% 39.6%
Conference Champion 6.8% 8.8% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 10.7% 18.6%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round6.6% 8.6% 4.1%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 55 - 12
Quad 49 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 261   @ Lafayette W 78-76 56%    
  Nov 10, 2019 91   @ Wake Forest L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 13, 2019 339   Binghamton W 78-63 91%    
  Nov 16, 2019 10   @ Virginia L 53-73 3%    
  Nov 20, 2019 93   @ St. John's L 73-81 23%    
  Nov 23, 2019 180   Rider W 82-81 53%    
  Nov 30, 2019 227   Lehigh W 83-77 70%    
  Dec 02, 2019 240   @ Delaware W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 06, 2019 314   @ Bryant W 78-73 67%    
  Dec 09, 2019 126   @ Duquesne L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 22, 2019 127   @ Colgate L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 28, 2019 328   Marist W 75-62 87%    
  Dec 30, 2019 178   Albany W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 02, 2020 333   @ Maine W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 282   Cornell W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 25, 2020 282   @ Cornell W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 31, 2020 144   @ Yale L 76-81 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 171   @ Brown L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 07, 2020 98   Penn L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 143   Princeton W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 14, 2020 193   @ Dartmouth L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 69   @ Harvard L 67-79 17%    
  Feb 21, 2020 171   Brown W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 144   Yale W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 28, 2020 69   Harvard L 70-76 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 193   Dartmouth W 75-71 64%    
  Mar 06, 2020 143   @ Princeton L 69-74 35%    
  Mar 07, 2020 98   @ Penn L 68-76 26%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 6.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.1 1.5 0.3 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.9 1.0 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.7 3.4 0.3 15.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.9 1.9 0.2 13.0 7th
8th 0.4 1.8 2.9 2.6 0.7 0.0 8.5 8th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.4 7.7 10.3 12.7 14.4 13.9 12.0 9.1 6.8 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
12-2 85.4% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
11-3 57.7% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.2
10-4 25.0% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0
9-5 5.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 76.4% 56.6% 19.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.7%
13-1 0.7% 57.4% 51.5% 6.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12.3%
12-2 1.9% 30.8% 27.0% 3.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 5.2%
11-3 3.7% 26.8% 26.0% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.7 1.0%
10-4 6.8% 18.8% 18.7% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.5 0.1%
9-5 9.1% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 7.8 0.0%
8-6 12.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 10.7
7-7 13.9% 5.2% 5.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 13.2
6-8 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.3
5-9 12.7% 12.7
4-10 10.3% 10.3
3-11 7.7% 7.7
2-12 4.4% 4.4
1-13 1.9% 1.9
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 6.8% 6.6% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.6 93.2 0.2%