Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#143
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#202
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#112
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 14.7% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.7 12.2 13.2
.500 or above 56.6% 74.9% 47.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 70.8% 55.5%
Conference Champion 11.8% 17.7% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 5.0% 10.6%
First Four0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
First Round9.5% 14.0% 7.4%
Second Round1.8% 3.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 56 - 11
Quad 47 - 214 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 126   @ Duquesne L 70-75 32%    
  Nov 09, 2019 111   @ San Francisco L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 13, 2019 261   Lafayette W 78-69 80%    
  Nov 20, 2019 47   @ Indiana L 62-74 14%    
  Nov 26, 2019 65   Arizona St. L 73-77 35%    
  Nov 30, 2019 159   @ Bucknell L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 04, 2019 254   @ Drexel W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 10, 2019 239   Monmouth W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 14, 2019 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 17, 2019 161   Iona W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 19, 2019 148   Hofstra W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 29, 2019 227   Lehigh W 80-72 74%    
  Jan 04, 2020 98   @ Penn L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 10, 2020 98   Penn L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 31, 2020 193   Dartmouth W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 69   Harvard L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 07, 2020 282   @ Cornell W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 08, 2020 173   @ Columbia L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 14, 2020 144   Yale W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 171   Brown W 75-70 65%    
  Feb 21, 2020 69   @ Harvard L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 22, 2020 193   @ Dartmouth W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 28, 2020 171   @ Brown L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 144   @ Yale L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 06, 2020 173   Columbia W 74-69 65%    
  Mar 07, 2020 282   Cornell W 75-64 81%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.9 3.0 1.5 0.4 11.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.1 5.9 2.5 0.3 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 7.1 5.5 1.5 0.1 16.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 7.2 4.4 0.7 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 7.3 3.6 0.3 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.5 2.7 0.3 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.7 3.9 1.7 0.2 9.3 7th
8th 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.8 8th
Total 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.8 7.6 10.3 13.3 13.4 13.6 12.0 9.7 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.1
12-2 89.6% 3.0    2.4 0.5 0.0
11-3 60.9% 3.9    2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0
10-4 24.1% 2.3    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.0
9-5 4.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 7.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 71.9% 48.7% 23.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 45.1%
13-1 1.5% 59.6% 42.1% 17.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 30.3%
12-2 3.3% 43.9% 36.8% 7.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 11.2%
11-3 6.4% 29.7% 27.6% 2.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.5 3.0%
10-4 9.7% 20.6% 20.2% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.7 0.4%
9-5 12.0% 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 10.2 0.0%
8-6 13.6% 8.4% 8.3% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.5 0.1%
7-7 13.4% 2.4% 2.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 13.1
6-8 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
5-9 10.3% 10.3
4-10 7.6% 7.6
3-11 4.8% 4.8
2-12 2.4% 2.4
1-13 0.9% 0.9
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 9.9% 9.1% 0.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 90.1 0.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 100.0