Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#193
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.7#268
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 8.3% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.1 14.1
.500 or above 44.3% 68.1% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 52.3% 35.1%
Conference Champion 4.7% 8.9% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 19.6% 12.7% 21.2%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round4.5% 8.0% 3.7%
Second Round0.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 49 - 313 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 104   @ Buffalo L 74-83 19%    
  Nov 11, 2019 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-68 72%    
  Nov 15, 2019 304   Merrimack W 73-67 71%    
  Nov 16, 2019 298   Jacksonville W 77-71 70%    
  Nov 17, 2019 263   @ Umass Lowell W 77-76 53%    
  Nov 30, 2019 108   @ Bowling Green L 70-79 22%    
  Dec 03, 2019 162   @ Georgia St. L 71-76 34%    
  Dec 06, 2019 79   @ South Florida L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 11, 2019 333   @ Maine W 69-63 71%    
  Dec 14, 2019 200   @ Boston University L 70-73 41%    
  Dec 18, 2019 342   Central Connecticut St. W 79-65 89%    
  Dec 21, 2019 314   Bryant W 78-68 80%    
  Dec 30, 2019 334   @ New Hampshire W 68-62 71%    
  Jan 02, 2020 84   Vermont L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 69   @ Harvard L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 69   Harvard L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 31, 2020 143   @ Princeton L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 98   @ Penn L 65-75 22%    
  Feb 07, 2020 171   @ Brown L 71-76 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 144   @ Yale L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 14, 2020 173   Columbia W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 15, 2020 282   Cornell W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 21, 2020 98   Penn L 68-72 40%    
  Feb 22, 2020 143   Princeton L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 28, 2020 282   @ Cornell W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 173   @ Columbia L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 06, 2020 144   Yale L 75-76 51%    
  Mar 07, 2020 171   Brown W 74-73 55%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.8 0.9 0.1 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 6.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 7.3 3.5 0.3 0.0 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 7.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 6.2 6.7 2.4 0.2 17.7 7th
8th 0.9 3.1 4.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 12.3 8th
Total 0.9 3.3 6.7 9.9 13.0 14.4 13.5 12.9 9.7 7.0 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 90.5% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
11-3 63.5% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
10-4 25.7% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0
9-5 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 50.0% 22.8% 27.2% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.2%
13-1 0.4% 43.0% 41.7% 1.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2%
12-2 1.1% 41.3% 34.4% 6.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.5%
11-3 2.6% 25.6% 24.5% 1.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9 1.5%
10-4 4.6% 20.4% 20.2% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 0.2%
9-5 7.0% 13.5% 13.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 6.1
8-6 9.7% 8.1% 8.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 8.9
7-7 12.9% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 12.3
6-8 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-9 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.4
4-10 13.0% 13.0
3-11 9.9% 9.9
2-12 6.7% 6.7
1-13 3.3% 3.3
0-14 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 4.7% 4.5% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 95.3 0.1%