Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.8#341
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#214
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#268
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.7% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 37.3% 52.1% 26.4%
.500 or above in Conference 44.5% 54.1% 37.4%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.8% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 7.6% 15.0%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round4.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Neutral) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 84 - 11
Quad 411 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 201   Oakland L 69-71 42%    
  Nov 09, 2019 207   Southern Illinois L 64-66 44%    
  Nov 10, 2019 121   Texas San Antonio L 70-78 24%    
  Nov 16, 2019 261   @ Lafayette L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 19, 2019 248   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-72 41%    
  Nov 27, 2019 196   Stony Brook W 68-67 52%    
  Nov 29, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 55-40 90%    
  Dec 02, 2019 173   Columbia L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 07, 2019 190   @ George Washington L 64-69 32%    
  Dec 14, 2019 11   Villanova L 55-76 4%    
  Dec 16, 2019 349   Delaware St. W 58-47 82%    
  Dec 20, 2019 210   @ LIU Brooklyn L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 28, 2019 268   UNC Wilmington W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 30, 2019 123   College of Charleston L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 03, 2020 254   @ Drexel L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 09, 2020 232   @ James Madison L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 11, 2020 181   @ Towson L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 16, 2020 246   William & Mary W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 317   Elon W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 23, 2020 148   @ Hofstra L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 25, 2020 130   @ Northeastern L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 01, 2020 254   Drexel W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 06, 2020 181   Towson W 65-64 50%    
  Feb 08, 2020 232   James Madison W 67-64 58%    
  Feb 13, 2020 317   @ Elon W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 15, 2020 246   @ William & Mary L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 20, 2020 130   Northeastern L 66-69 39%    
  Feb 22, 2020 148   Hofstra L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 27, 2020 123   @ College of Charleston L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 268   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-74 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.5 5.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.2 10.5 9th
10th 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.4 10th
Total 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.2 6.1 8.2 10.5 11.7 11.4 11.1 9.8 7.9 6.3 4.2 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 93.4% 0.5    0.5 0.1
15-3 78.9% 1.1    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 51.1% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.7% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 32.3% 22.6% 9.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5%
17-1 0.3% 54.0% 51.0% 3.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.2%
16-2 0.6% 40.8% 40.7% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1%
15-3 1.4% 27.5% 27.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.8% 21.9% 21.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.2
13-5 4.2% 16.2% 16.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.5
12-6 6.3% 12.0% 12.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 5.6
11-7 7.9% 7.6% 7.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 7.3
10-8 9.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.3
9-9 11.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
8-10 11.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.1
7-11 11.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.5
6-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
5-13 8.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.8% 4.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.7 95.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%