IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.5	#201
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#129
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#167

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#250

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.5%	8.5%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	34.0%	44.4%	19.9%
.500 or above in Conference	53.1%	60.7%	42.7%
Conference Champion	6.6%	8.4%	4.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.8%	5.9%	12.7%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	6.3%	8.2%	3.6%
Second Round	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Neutral) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 7	5 - 14
Quad 4	9 - 4	14 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	240	Delaware	W	71-69	58%
Nov 09, 2019	121	Texas San Antonio	L	77-83	30%
Nov 10, 2019	207	Southern Illinois	W	71-70	51%
Nov 16, 2019	9	@ Maryland	L	62-84	2%
Nov 18, 2019	321	Hartford	W	79-68	83%
Nov 25, 2019	147	@ Northern Illinois	L	70-76	29%
Nov 30, 2019	112	@ Toledo	L	69-78	21%
Dec 03, 2019	231	@ Western Michigan	L	74-76	45%
Dec 07, 2019	108	@ Bowling Green	L	73-82	21%
Dec 14, 2019	1	Michigan St.	L	64-88	2%
Dec 18, 2019	59	@ Syracuse	L	63-77	11%
Dec 21, 2019	288	Fairfield	W	77-69	75%
Dec 28, 2019	219	Detroit Mercy	W	82-78	63%
Jan 03, 2020	103	Wright St.	L	69-73	39%
Jan 05, 2020	133	Northern Kentucky	L	74-75	45%
Jan 09, 2020	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	76-78	44%
Jan 11, 2020	311	@ Cleveland St.	W	77-74	62%
Jan 16, 2020	167	@ Green Bay	L	80-85	33%
Jan 18, 2020	250	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	71-72	48%
Jan 23, 2020	131	Illinois-Chicago	L	76-77	46%
Jan 25, 2020	253	IUPUI	W	79-73	68%
Jan 31, 2020	219	@ Detroit Mercy	L	79-81	42%
Feb 06, 2020	133	@ Northern Kentucky	L	71-78	27%
Feb 08, 2020	103	@ Wright St.	L	66-76	21%
Feb 13, 2020	311	Cleveland St.	W	80-71	78%
Feb 15, 2020	225	Youngstown St.	W	79-75	64%
Feb 21, 2020	250	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	74-69	67%
Feb 23, 2020	167	Green Bay	W	83-82	53%
Feb 27, 2020	253	@ IUPUI	L	75-76	49%
Feb 29, 2020	131	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	73-80	28%
Projected Record						13 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.4	1.3	1.7	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1		6.6	1st
2nd											0.1	1.1	2.9	3.3	1.6	0.4	0.1				9.5	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	1.8	4.1	3.6	1.3	0.2	0.0					11.3	3rd
4th									0.3	2.3	4.8	3.6	1.0	0.1							12.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	3.0	5.5	3.5	0.7	0.0								13.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.9	5.2	3.1	0.5	0.0									12.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.7	2.9	4.9	2.5	0.4	0.0										11.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	0.9	2.9	3.9	2.1	0.3	0.0											10.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.7	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0												8.2	9th
10th	0.1	0.5	1.3	1.7	1.2	0.5	0.0														5.4	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.0	4.9	6.9	8.4	10.4	11.3	11.6	10.7	9.6	8.0	6.0	3.5	2.3	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	95.0%	1.0		0.8	0.1
15-3	79.9%	1.8		1.3	0.5	0.0
14-4	48.5%	1.7		0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	21.4%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.6%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.6%	6.6		3.9	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		65.8%	64.4%	1.3%	11.1						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		3.8%
17-1	0.4%		45.8%	45.0%	0.8%	12.4							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		1.5%
16-2	1.0%		36.7%	35.7%	1.0%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6		1.5%
15-3	2.3%		29.4%	29.3%	0.1%	13.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.6		0.1%
14-4	3.5%		21.9%	21.7%	0.2%	13.8												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.7		0.3%
13-5	6.0%		16.8%	16.8%		14.2												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	5.0
12-6	8.0%		12.5%	12.5%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	7.0
11-7	9.6%		8.8%	8.8%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	8.7
10-8	10.7%		6.3%	6.3%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	10.1
9-9	11.6%		3.9%	3.9%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	11.2
8-10	11.3%		2.6%	2.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.2	11.0
7-11	10.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.2
6-12	8.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.4
5-13	6.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
4-14	4.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	14.4						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.6	1.9	1.5	93.5		0.0%