IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#194
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.6	#100
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#226

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#182

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.5%	16.7%	9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	67.3%	75.7%	49.0%
.500 or above in Conference	81.5%	85.4%	72.9%
Conference Champion	18.7%	21.8%	11.9%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	1.0%	2.9%

First Four	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%
First Round	13.6%	15.8%	8.6%
Second Round	0.8%	1.1%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	3 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 5	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	325	@ N.C. A&T	W	72-67	69%
Nov 12, 2019	102	Furman	L	69-72	37%
Nov 16, 2019	60	@ Dayton	L	63-77	10%
Nov 18, 2019	1	@ Michigan St.	L	61-88	1%
Nov 23, 2019	226	Southern Utah	W	76-75	55%
Dec 03, 2019	53	@ Missouri	L	61-76	9%
Dec 07, 2019	322	NC Central	W	74-63	83%
Dec 16, 2019	232	@ James Madison	L	69-70	46%
Dec 21, 2019	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	W	85-84	54%
Jan 02, 2020	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-67	87%
Jan 04, 2020	245	@ Hampton	L	78-79	48%
Jan 08, 2020	260	Longwood	W	76-70	70%
Jan 11, 2020	301	UNC Asheville	W	72-63	78%
Jan 16, 2020	302	@ Campbell	W	72-69	60%
Jan 18, 2020	308	@ High Point	W	68-65	61%
Jan 23, 2020	319	Presbyterian	W	79-68	82%
Jan 25, 2020	176	@ Gardner-Webb	L	71-75	37%
Jan 30, 2020	218	Winthrop	W	81-77	63%
Feb 01, 2020	134	@ Radford	L	66-73	29%
Feb 06, 2020	260	@ Longwood	W	73-72	51%
Feb 08, 2020	245	Hampton	W	81-75	66%
Feb 10, 2020	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	78-70	73%
Feb 13, 2020	308	High Point	W	71-62	78%
Feb 15, 2020	301	@ UNC Asheville	W	69-66	59%
Feb 20, 2020	302	Campbell	W	75-66	77%
Feb 27, 2020	176	Gardner-Webb	W	74-72	56%
Feb 29, 2020	319	@ Presbyterian	W	76-71	65%
Projected Record						15 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.4	1.5	3.5	5.4	4.5	2.6	0.8		18.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	3.3	5.8	5.5	2.9	0.7	0.1			18.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.9	3.8	6.0	3.9	1.2	0.1					16.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	3.7	5.2	2.5	0.6	0.0						12.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	3.1	3.7	1.7	0.2	0.0							9.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.6	3.8	1.2	0.2	0.0								8.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.0	2.5	0.9	0.1										6.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.3	1.7	0.7	0.1											4.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0											2.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.0													1.8	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														0.8	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.1	1.9	3.2	4.9	6.6	8.8	9.7	11.6	12.4	11.8	10.2	8.4	5.2	2.7	0.8			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	96.6%	2.6		2.4	0.2
16-2	87.3%	4.5		3.5	1.0	0.0
15-3	63.8%	5.4		3.2	1.9	0.2
14-4	34.2%	3.5		1.5	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.0%	1.5		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.7%	18.7		11.8	5.4	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		56.2%	52.5%	3.8%	12.0					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.3		7.9%
17-1	2.7%		46.2%	46.2%	0.0%	13.4											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	1.5		0.1%
16-2	5.2%		40.2%	40.2%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	3.1
15-3	8.4%		31.0%	31.0%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.4	1.0	0.9	0.2	5.8
14-4	10.2%		25.0%	25.0%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	0.5	7.6
13-5	11.8%		18.2%	18.2%		15.2														0.0	0.3	1.1	0.7	9.7
12-6	12.4%		12.8%	12.8%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	10.8
11-7	11.6%		7.3%	7.3%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.6	10.7
10-8	9.7%		4.8%	4.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	9.2
9-9	8.8%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																0.0	0.3	8.5
8-10	6.6%		1.9%	1.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	6.5
7-11	4.9%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
6-12	3.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
5-13	1.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
4-14	1.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.5%	14.5%	0.0%	14.6					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	3.5	4.7	3.9	85.5		0.0%